Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 27, 2022, 8:12 a.m.

Overall Rationale: This is a predictive ranking system. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. Losses against FCS opponents are counted, wins are not. It re-generated each week from 0 and then iterated until ratings stabilize, so past weeks' results are reevaluated from the perspective of the current week. Numerical scores for each team represent how many points above or below average they are. Subtract scores to get an estimated spread between two teams, with 3 points given to the home team. Preseason rankings are included for stability and wear off over the season. This early, preseason rankings prop some teams up, and unbalanced schedules or outlier results can create unusual or counterintuitive results.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Georgia Bulldogs	21.04
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	16.58
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	14.55
4	Minnesota Golden Gophers	12.14
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	10.96
6	Oklahoma Sooners	9.66
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	9.15
8	LSU Tigers	8.98
9	Clemson Tigers	8.63
10	Texas Longhorns	8.61
11	USC Trojans	8.25
12	Ole Miss Rebels	8.12
13	Baylor Bears	8.00
14	Arkansas Razorbacks	7.40
15	Iowa State Cyclones	7.35
16	Tennessee Volunteers	7.31
17	Kansas State Wildcats	7.12
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6.81
19	Michigan Wolverines	6.76
20	Utah Utes	6.60
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	6.29
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6.09
23	Florida State Seminoles	5.89
24	Kentucky Wildcats	5.62
25	Oregon Ducks	5.32

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
4	Minnesota Golden Gophers	1.31
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.45
6	Oklahoma Sooners	2.20
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	7.58
8	LSU Tigers	7.45
9	Clemson Tigers	0.00
10	Texas Longhorns	15.03
11	USC Trojans	-0.03
12	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
13	Baylor Bears	0.56
14	Arkansas Razorbacks	1.39
15	Iowa State Cyclones	9.97
16	Tennessee Volunteers	-1.81
17	Kansas State Wildcats	1.20
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6.25
19	Michigan Wolverines	-2.81
20	Utah Utes	0.00
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	3.98
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-1.54
23	Florida State Seminoles	-0.10
24	Kentucky Wildcats	-3.19
25	Oregon Ducks	-1.10

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
NC State Wolfpack	2.79
Washington Huskies	2.04
Kansas Jayhawks	0.33
Texas A&M Aggies	0.50
BYU Cougars	0.44
Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.23
Syracuse Orange	0.06

Total Score: 74.34