Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 26, 2022, 4:41 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Weighted composite of FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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31.2, -6.2 from last week, - |
2 |
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27.3, -2.7, - |
3 |
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23.5, -0.9, - |
4 |
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23.2, +4.3, +6. Accelerated ELO now counts for 50% of the weighted composite, and the LSU win continues to impress. |
5 |
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23.0, NR. The model is taking them seriously now after a blowout win at Michigan State. They now have the best margin of victory accelerated ELO in the country. |
6 |
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22.4, +2.3, +2. The model loves their win over Mississippi State. |
7 |
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20.3, +4.0, +9. The model is rewarding them for finally having some strength of schedule. |
8 |
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20.1, +1.1, +1. A small improvement due to a strength of schedule boost. |
9 |
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19.7, -3.6, -5. The model expected them to beat Florida by more. Blame garbage time. |
10 |
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19.2, -1.9, -5. The model expected them to beat Oregon State by more. |
11 |
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19.1, -1.7, -4. Central Michigan was not as good of a win as others had this week. |
12 |
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16.9, -1.0, +1. |
13 |
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16.9, -0.8, +1. |
14 |
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16.5, -1.5, -2. Their strength of schedule plummeted with Michigan State’s blowout loss. |
15 |
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16.1, -1.5, -. |
16 |
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15.6, NR. The Dukes are now undefeated, with a road win over a team that beat Texas A&M. |
17 |
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15.4, +0.9, +4. |
18 |
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15.3, -2.9, -7. The close loss to Alabama looks as good as most wins to the model, so they are the only 2-loss team to make the rankings. |
19 |
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14.3, NR. A quality win against Iowa State brings the Bears back into the rankings. |
20 |
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14.0, +2.4, +5. Another solid win from a team that is yet to be tested. |
21 |
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13.7, -1.1, -2. The model was not impressed with a 2-point home win over Virginia. |
22 |
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13.4, -1.8, -4. They didn’t blow out NIU. |
23 |
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13.2, NR. The Jayhawks are undefeated, with 3 wins over potentially top half FBS teams, but no signature wins to date. |
24 |
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13.0, NR. A solid win over SMU sees their strength of schedule improve. |
25 |
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11.6, NR. They have rebounded from the Oregon loss, and Baylor is helping their strength of schedule. Honorable Mentions: Oklahoma 11.4, Pittsburgh 11.2, Cincinnati 11.1, Wake Forest 10.9 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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1.74 |
5 |
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1.14 |
6 |
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8.43 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.06 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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2.50 |
17 |
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7.20 |
18 |
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7.03 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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1.04 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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-2.65 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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-0.18 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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2.35 |
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0.81 |
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0.63 |
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0.50 |
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0.45 |
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0.23 |
Total Score: 36.94