Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 26, 2022, 4:41 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Weighted composite of FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
31.2, -6.2 from last week, - |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
27.3, -2.7, - |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
23.5, -0.9, - |
| 4 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
23.2, +4.3, +6. Accelerated ELO now counts for 50% of the weighted composite, and the LSU win continues to impress. |
| 5 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
23.0, NR. The model is taking them seriously now after a blowout win at Michigan State. They now have the best margin of victory accelerated ELO in the country. |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
22.4, +2.3, +2. The model loves their win over Mississippi State. |
| 7 |
Clemson Tigers
|
20.3, +4.0, +9. The model is rewarding them for finally having some strength of schedule. |
| 8 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
20.1, +1.1, +1. A small improvement due to a strength of schedule boost. |
| 9 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
19.7, -3.6, -5. The model expected them to beat Florida by more. Blame garbage time. |
| 10 |
USC Trojans
|
19.2, -1.9, -5. The model expected them to beat Oregon State by more. |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
19.1, -1.7, -4. Central Michigan was not as good of a win as others had this week. |
| 12 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
16.9, -1.0, +1. |
| 13 |
Oregon Ducks
|
16.9, -0.8, +1. |
| 14 |
Washington Huskies
|
16.5, -1.5, -2. Their strength of schedule plummeted with Michigan State’s blowout loss. |
| 15 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
16.1, -1.5, -. |
| 16 |
James Madison Dukes
|
15.6, NR. The Dukes are now undefeated, with a road win over a team that beat Texas A&M. |
| 17 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
15.4, +0.9, +4. |
| 18 |
Texas Longhorns
|
15.3, -2.9, -7. The close loss to Alabama looks as good as most wins to the model, so they are the only 2-loss team to make the rankings. |
| 19 |
Baylor Bears
|
14.3, NR. A quality win against Iowa State brings the Bears back into the rankings. |
| 20 |
UCLA Bruins
|
14.0, +2.4, +5. Another solid win from a team that is yet to be tested. |
| 21 |
Syracuse Orange
|
13.7, -1.1, -2. The model was not impressed with a 2-point home win over Virginia. |
| 22 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
13.4, -1.8, -4. They didn’t blow out NIU. |
| 23 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
13.2, NR. The Jayhawks are undefeated, with 3 wins over potentially top half FBS teams, but no signature wins to date. |
| 24 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
13.0, NR. A solid win over SMU sees their strength of schedule improve. |
| 25 |
BYU Cougars
|
11.6, NR. They have rebounded from the Oregon loss, and Baylor is helping their strength of schedule. Honorable Mentions: Oklahoma 11.4, Pittsburgh 11.2, Cincinnati 11.1, Wake Forest 10.9 |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
1.74 |
| 5 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
1.14 |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
8.43 |
| 7 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.06 |
| 14 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
James Madison Dukes
|
2.50 |
| 17 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
7.20 |
| 18 |
Texas Longhorns
|
7.03 |
| 19 |
Baylor Bears
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
UCLA Bruins
|
1.04 |
| 21 |
Syracuse Orange
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
-2.65 |
| 23 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
BYU Cougars
|
-0.18 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
2.35 |
Utah Utes
|
0.81 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.63 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.50 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
0.45 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.23 |
Total Score: 36.94