Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Jan. 9, 2024, 3:16 p.m.

Overall Rationale: The modified Colley returns, with a few changes. Last year, I inserted some pre season bias, pretty much how I saw fit. This year, I'm using last years colley ratings as a starting point. However, I will be introducing a decay function to the bias, so by the end of the season, there should be little to no bias, similar to the normal colley ratings. Using this with OLS to predict spreads and betting according. This was an ok month.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Michigan Wolverines
2	Washington Huskies
3	Georgia Bulldogs
4	Texas Longhorns
5	Alabama Crimson Tide
6	Florida State Seminoles
7	Ohio State Buckeyes
8	Oregon Ducks
9	Missouri Tigers
10	Ole Miss Rebels
11	Penn State Nittany Lions
12	LSU Tigers
13	Oklahoma Sooners
14	Liberty Flames
15	James Madison Dukes
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
17	Iowa Hawkeyes
18	Arizona Wildcats
19	Tennessee Volunteers
20	Kansas State Wildcats
21	Louisville Cardinals
22	Troy Trojans
23	Oklahoma State Cowboys
24	Clemson Tigers
25	NC State Wolfpack

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
2	Washington Huskies	0.00
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0.03
4	Texas Longhorns	0.00
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
6	Florida State Seminoles	0.00
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.38
8	Oregon Ducks	-0.11
9	Missouri Tigers	0.00
10	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.11
12	LSU Tigers	0.00
13	Oklahoma Sooners	0.02
14	Liberty Flames	1.40
15	James Madison Dukes	2.96
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.10
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	2.12
18	Arizona Wildcats	-1.39
19	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
20	Kansas State Wildcats	0.00
21	Louisville Cardinals	0.00
22	Troy Trojans	1.08
23	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-0.74
24	Clemson Tigers	-0.37
25	NC State Wolfpack	-0.36

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Kansas Jayhawks	0.65
SMU Mustangs	0.31

Total Score: 12.12