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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2023 Week 9

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 22, 2023, 7:51 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 9 notes: Deservedness keeping 2-loss teams such as Notre Dame and LSU behind Liberty. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 6-2 Notre Dame can be ranked over 7-1 Missouri, but 6-2 Notre Dame cannot be ranked over 7-0 Liberty even if Notre Dame beat Liberty heads up, rankings have Notre Dame over Liberty, and/or I think Notre Dame is better than Liberty)

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes If the season were to end right now: Rose Bowl. My predicted Big Ten champ is Michigan
2 Florida State Seminoles If the season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl
3 Oklahoma Sooners If the season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl
4 Washington Huskies If the season were to end right now: Rose Bowl
5 Michigan Wolverines If the season were to end right now: Orange Bowl. My predicted Big Ten/SEC/Notre Dame Orange Bowl rep is Ohio State
6 Oregon Ducks If the season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl
7 Texas Longhorns If the season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl
8 Georgia Bulldogs If the season were to end right now: Peach Bowl. I have Georgia as one of my predicted playoff teams
9 Penn State Nittany Lions If the season were to end right now: Peach Bowl
10 Alabama Crimson Tide If the season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl
11 Oregon State Beavers
12 Utah Utes
13 Missouri Tigers
14 Louisville Cardinals
15 Ole Miss Rebels
16 North Carolina Tar Heels
17 James Madison Dukes I have a feeling the NCAA could reverse their decision for an undefeated JMU near the end of the season
18 Tulane Green Wave If the season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl
19 Fresno State Bulldogs
20 Air Force Falcons Still not entirely sold on them. They’ve had a very favorable schedule so far with easy opponents and their toughest opponent at home
21 Georgia State Panthers
22 UNLV Rebels
23 Liberty Flames The bottlenecking culprit
24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Would be #15 (behind Louisville, ahead of Ole Miss) if not for Deservedness
25 LSU Tigers Would be #17 (behind Notre Dame and Ole Miss, ahead of North Carolina) if not for Deservedness. Next five: Duke, UCLA, USC, Miami, Kentucky

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