Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 22, 2023, 1:18 a.m.

Overall Rationale: The modified Colley returns, with a few changes. Last year, I inserted some pre season bias, pretty much how I saw fit. This year, I'm using last years colley ratings as a starting point. However, I will be introducing a decay function to the bias, so by the end of the season, there should be little to no bias, similar to the normal colley ratings. Using this with OLS to predict spreads and betting according. This was a good week.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Florida State Seminoles
2	Ohio State Buckeyes
3	Michigan Wolverines
4	Texas Longhorns
5	Oklahoma Sooners
6	Alabama Crimson Tide
7	Washington Huskies
8	James Madison Dukes
9	Utah Utes
10	Georgia Bulldogs
11	Ole Miss Rebels
12	Oregon State Beavers
13	Penn State Nittany Lions
14	Missouri Tigers
15	Liberty Flames
16	North Carolina Tar Heels
17	Air Force Falcons
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
19	Oregon Ducks
20	LSU Tigers
21	Iowa Hawkeyes
22	Louisville Cardinals
23	Tennessee Volunteers
24	Tulane Green Wave
25	USC Trojans

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Florida State Seminoles	1.04
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
3	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
4	Texas Longhorns	1.22
5	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.73
7	Washington Huskies	-0.55
8	James Madison Dukes	1.63
9	Utah Utes	0.46
10	Georgia Bulldogs	-1.00
11	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
12	Oregon State Beavers	0.00
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	-0.24
14	Missouri Tigers	0.00
15	Liberty Flames	2.05
16	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.00
17	Air Force Falcons	0.00
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.11
19	Oregon Ducks	-2.45
20	LSU Tigers	-0.15
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	3.99
22	Louisville Cardinals	-0.19
23	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
24	Tulane Green Wave	0.00
25	USC Trojans	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Duke Blue Devils	0.85
UCLA Bruins	0.40

Total Score: 17.06