Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Oct. 10, 2022, 7:25 p.m.
Overall Rationale: So the primary focus of my poll is that only what happens on the field this season matters. Teams do not earn points for perceived talent, historical success, etc. I look at who teams have beaten on the field this year, and how good those wins are in turn. There will be a bias, and you probably won't agree with me on many, especially early in the season where we are now. Undefeated certainly gets looked at, but it is not the be-all-end-all. Things will look less strange as the year goes on and we enter conference play and gain a larger sample size. To further avoid poll inertia, each week I will "reset" and reevaluate each team in turn, reweighing their respective wins. Some wins may look better in week 3, much less so by week 6, as well as the reverse. As a result, my polls may see some large jumps or drops at points between the weeks. | So to add to this, I have been working on a point system to see if that inhibits some of the wildness my poll has seen early one (most unusual human 4 weeks in a row). Team earn points for how many wins a team they beat has. They earn a point if their opponents have more wins than losses. They lose one if it is the reverse. I add .5 for each good road win (team .500 or better). For teams with losses, they will similarly lose points if the opponents they have lost to have a losing record overall. | So far this added point system seems to have helped with a few teams that my pervious polls were very low on (Bama, Ohio State, Michigan, etc). Having 7 weeks complete now helps a lot too instead of 3-4 weeks where many teams just had a win over an FCS team. I also omitted teams at .500 or less now that we are farther into the season. At this point, a single good win shouldn't counter being 2-4 or 3-3. There are some noticeable outliers this week; MSST and Notre Dame are high, while TCU and OKST are very low. OKST has not been getting help from their opponents (Baylor is their best at 3-2, then Tech at 3-3. CMU and ASU are bad). TCU has the Kansas win but SMU/Colorado drag it down, as does OU on their losing skid. One of the two should get a nice boost this week since they play one another.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | |
3 | Ole Miss Rebels | |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | |
5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | |
6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | |
7 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | |
8 | Michigan Wolverines | |
9 | UCLA Bruins | |
10 | USC Trojans | |
11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | |
12 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | |
13 | NC State Wolfpack | |
14 | Kansas Jayhawks | |
15 | Illinois Fighting Illini | |
16 | Oregon Ducks | |
17 | Purdue Boilermakers | |
18 | Tulane Green Wave | |
19 | Penn State Nittany Lions | |
20 | Kansas State Wildcats | |
21 | LSU Tigers | |
22 | Utah Utes | |
23 | Texas Longhorns | |
24 | Syracuse Orange | |
25 | James Madison Dukes | First 5 Out: San Jose St, Troy, Coastal Carolina, Florida State, BYU Nexxt 5 Out: TCU, North Carolina, California, Oklahoma State, Cincinnati |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | 0.95 |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | 1.42 |
3 | Ole Miss Rebels | 1.94 |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | -0.66 |
5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | -0.14 |
6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1.31 |
7 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 2.35 |
8 | Michigan Wolverines | -0.21 |
9 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
10 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12.90 |
12 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.23 |
13 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.22 |
14 | Kansas Jayhawks | 1.03 |
15 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1.63 |
16 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
17 | Purdue Boilermakers | 7.52 |
18 | Tulane Green Wave | 4.07 |
19 | Penn State Nittany Lions | -2.50 |
20 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
21 | LSU Tigers | 3.99 |
22 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
23 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
24 | Syracuse Orange | -1.12 |
25 | James Madison Dukes | -0.05 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Oklahoma State Cowboys | 4.98 |
TCU Horned Frogs | 3.98 |
Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.37 |
Total Score: 53.58