Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 10, 2022, 3:30 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Using Beta_Rank (sharpcollegefootball.com) to assess how good a team is, but using actual wins and losses to determine who is having the best season
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 1 |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 2 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 3 |
| 4 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 5 |
| 5 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 7 |
| 6 |
USC Trojans
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 8 |
| 7 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 9 |
| 8 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 10 |
| 9 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 14 |
| 10 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 16 |
| 11 |
UCLA Bruins
|
Undefeated, beta rank number 21 |
| 12 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
First one loss team here. Rated all of the undefeateds that beta_rank at least somewhat respects as the first 11 spots. Still a couple of undefeated teams to get to, but the gap in beta_rank between these good one loss teams and the lesser of the undefeated teams is too great for me to ignore. Beta_Rank number 6 |
| 13 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
1 loss, Beta_Rank number 13. Only loss is to undefeated Clemson |
| 14 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
1 loss, Beta_Rank number 15. Only loss is to Tulane which is a solid team, beta_rank number 27 |
| 15 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1 loss, Beta_Rank number 17. Only loss is to Georgia |
| 16 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
1 loss, Beta_Rank number 18. Only loss is to Purdue, which is beta_rank.... wait for it..... 12! |
| 17 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
1 loss, Beta_Rank number 23. Only loss is to undefeated TCU |
| 18 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
1 loss, Beta_Rank number 26. Only loss is to a bad Indiana team (beta_rank number 82) but they should be undefeated if it were not for some bad officiating |
| 19 |
James Madison Dukes
|
Back to the undefeated teams which Beta_rank isn't as sold on. JMU is beta_rank number 39 |
| 20 |
Syracuse Orange
|
undefeated, beta_rank number 40 |
| 21 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
undefeated, beta_rank number 45 |
| 22 |
Texas Longhorns
|
At this point, the undefeated and 1 loss teams are pretty unappealing, so Texas makes my top 25 as the first 2 loss team of the season. Beta_Rank number 4 |
| 23 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
1 loss, Beta_rank number 33. I haven't forgot about being a missed field goal away from losing against ECU |
| 24 |
Purdue Boilermakers
|
2 losses, beta_rank number 12. Shocked that the model likes Purdue this much but here we are. Close losses against 2 undefeated teams, and they are getting a ton of credit for beating Minnesota and Maryland which the model likes quite a bit |
| 25 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
2 losses, beta_rank number 11. Gave Purdue the nod in the rankings due to the head to head win despite Maryland still being higher in Beta_Rank. Only losses are to undefeated Michigan, and (apparantly) juggernaut Purdue. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.38 |
| 5 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
0.01 |
| 10 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.80 |
| 13 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.52 |
| 15 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
4.45 |
| 17 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
0.03 |
| 18 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.64 |
| 19 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Syracuse Orange
|
-0.04 |
| 21 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
-3.35 |
| 22 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
-1.23 |
| 24 |
Purdue Boilermakers
|
0.58 |
| 25 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
0.13 |