Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 10, 2022, 3:30 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Using Beta_Rank (sharpcollegefootball.com) to assess how good a team is, but using actual wins and losses to determine who is having the best season
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Undefeated, beta rank number 1 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | Undefeated, beta rank number 2 |
3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Undefeated, beta rank number 3 |
4 | Tennessee Volunteers | Undefeated, beta rank number 5 |
5 | Clemson Tigers | Undefeated, beta rank number 7 |
6 | USC Trojans | Undefeated, beta rank number 8 |
7 | Michigan Wolverines | Undefeated, beta rank number 9 |
8 | Ole Miss Rebels | Undefeated, beta rank number 10 |
9 | TCU Horned Frogs | Undefeated, beta rank number 14 |
10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Undefeated, beta rank number 16 |
11 | UCLA Bruins | Undefeated, beta rank number 21 |
12 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | First one loss team here. Rated all of the undefeateds that beta_rank at least somewhat respects as the first 11 spots. Still a couple of undefeated teams to get to, but the gap in beta_rank between these good one loss teams and the lesser of the undefeated teams is too great for me to ignore. Beta_Rank number 6 |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 1 loss, Beta_Rank number 13. Only loss is to undefeated Clemson |
14 | Kansas State Wildcats | 1 loss, Beta_Rank number 15. Only loss is to Tulane which is a solid team, beta_rank number 27 |
15 | Oregon Ducks | 1 loss, Beta_Rank number 17. Only loss is to Georgia |
16 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 1 loss, Beta_Rank number 18. Only loss is to Purdue, which is beta_rank.... wait for it..... 12! |
17 | Kansas Jayhawks | 1 loss, Beta_Rank number 23. Only loss is to undefeated TCU |
18 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1 loss, Beta_Rank number 26. Only loss is to a bad Indiana team (beta_rank number 82) but they should be undefeated if it were not for some bad officiating |
19 | James Madison Dukes | Back to the undefeated teams which Beta_rank isn't as sold on. JMU is beta_rank number 39 |
20 | Syracuse Orange | undefeated, beta_rank number 40 |
21 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | undefeated, beta_rank number 45 |
22 | Texas Longhorns | At this point, the undefeated and 1 loss teams are pretty unappealing, so Texas makes my top 25 as the first 2 loss team of the season. Beta_Rank number 4 |
23 | NC State Wolfpack | 1 loss, Beta_rank number 33. I haven't forgot about being a missed field goal away from losing against ECU |
24 | Purdue Boilermakers | 2 losses, beta_rank number 12. Shocked that the model likes Purdue this much but here we are. Close losses against 2 undefeated teams, and they are getting a ton of credit for beating Minnesota and Maryland which the model likes quite a bit |
25 | Maryland Terrapins | 2 losses, beta_rank number 11. Gave Purdue the nod in the rankings due to the head to head win despite Maryland still being higher in Beta_Rank. Only losses are to undefeated Michigan, and (apparantly) juggernaut Purdue. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
4 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.38 |
5 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
6 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
7 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
8 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
9 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.01 |
10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
11 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
12 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.80 |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.00 |
14 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.52 |
15 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
16 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 4.45 |
17 | Kansas Jayhawks | 0.03 |
18 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.64 |
19 | James Madison Dukes | 0.00 |
20 | Syracuse Orange | -0.04 |
21 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -3.35 |
22 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
23 | NC State Wolfpack | -1.23 |
24 | Purdue Boilermakers | 0.58 |
25 | Maryland Terrapins | 0.13 |