Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Sept. 19, 2022, 10:03 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Poll is still stuffed to the gills of undefeated teams. All programs are 3-0, which is a bit surprising I think by this point in the year. I'm still higher up as one of the most controversial, but we are starting to see everything normalize. Numbers and expectations are starting to align more closely together, so controversial value should be going down pretty heavily. Next week should will probably cause some erratic movement though as undefeated teams continue to face off, and teams will start getting rewarded for playing against ranked opponents (top 45).

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	Wake Forest and NC State are the only two programs whose opponents are undefeated outside of their games. WF opponents are 5-0 outside of WF matchups, and NC State's are 4-0. NC State does have half of a possession lead over WF in average MOV but it does not seem to be influential enough, as well as considering NC State's schedule as slightly softer so far.
2	NC State Wolfpack
3	USC Trojans
4	Georgia Bulldogs	Dominating in the average MOV, but opponents have come across as weaker than the top (75% win rate)
5	Alabama Crimson Tide
6	Ohio State Buckeyes
7	Penn State Nittany Lions
8	Iowa State Cyclones
9	Kentucky Wildcats
10	Tulane Green Wave
11	Oregon State Beavers
12	UCLA Bruins
13	Arkansas Razorbacks
14	Washington Huskies
15	Ole Miss Rebels
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys
17	Clemson Tigers
18	Florida State Seminoles
19	Duke Blue Devils
20	Rutgers Scarlet Knights
21	Syracuse Orange
22	Maryland Terrapins
23	North Carolina Tar Heels
24	Washington State Cougars	A surprise team to come out of nowhere to me. Via intrigued to watch them through the rest of the season.
25	Oklahoma Sooners	Sneaking in at 25th. Strong MOV rate, but against one of the weaker opponent win% through the undefeated teams at 38%. Notable exclusions from fan's interest include MICHIGAN (25% OW%), KANSAS (1 OT win, 50% OW%), TENNESSEE (1 OT win, 67% OW%)

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	2.59
2	NC State Wolfpack	1.95
3	USC Trojans	0.70
4	Georgia Bulldogs	-0.25
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.36
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.25
8	Iowa State Cyclones	4.12
9	Kentucky Wildcats	0.00
10	Tulane Green Wave	5.89
11	Oregon State Beavers	2.77
12	UCLA Bruins	11.62
13	Arkansas Razorbacks	0.00
14	Washington Huskies	0.00
15	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-0.35
17	Clemson Tigers	-1.08
18	Florida State Seminoles	0.01
19	Duke Blue Devils	5.81
20	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	5.08
21	Syracuse Orange	0.16
22	Maryland Terrapins	1.01
23	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.00
24	Washington State Cougars	0.00
25	Oklahoma Sooners	-3.68

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Michigan Wolverines	3.85
Tennessee Volunteers	3.21
Oregon Ducks	0.93
Utah Utes	0.78
Baylor Bears	0.48
Texas Longhorns	0.31
BYU Cougars	0.40
Minnesota Golden Gophers	0.09

Total Score: 57.72