Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 19, 2022, 1 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Weighted composite of FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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37.4, +5.8 from last week, - |
2 |
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30.0, +1.6, +1 position from last week |
3 |
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24.4, -4.1, -1. ND continues to drop, bringing Ohio State’s strength of schedule down with them. |
4 |
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23.3, +4.0, +1. The Pitt win looks even better. |
5 |
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21.1, +7.3, +14. They continue to win convincingly and are further removed from last year each week in FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO. |
6 |
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21.0, +4.0, +5. The margin of victory moves them up. |
7 |
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20.8, +3.4, +1. |
8 |
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20.1, NR. Their win over Mississippi State was huge, and the loss to Florida State has been forgiven by the model due to how Florida State is playing. |
9 |
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19.0, -1.7, -5. The model is starting to punish them for a weak OOC schedule while other teams already have signature wins. They’ll have their chances to move up later in the year. |
10 |
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18.9, +5.5, +10. The win against LSU looks so much better now. |
11 |
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18.2, +2.0, +1. |
12 |
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18.0, NR. They deserve recognition after controlling the Michigan State game. |
13 |
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17.9, +2.7, +2. |
14 |
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17.7, NR. Convincing win over BYU vaults them into the model’s rankings. |
15 |
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17.6, +6.4, +10. The model had Texas Tech at #30 last week, so a solid win looks good on the Wolfpack. |
16 |
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16.3, -2.1, -10. Same as Michigan, the model doesn’t like their strength of schedule so far. |
17 |
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15.7, +0.6, -1. The model likes Washington now, so that away loss did not drop the Spartans in the model as far as I was expecting. The model looks at final score, which was closer than the game felt. |
18 |
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15.2, -2.0, -8. Strength of schedule took a hit from the Florida game this week. |
19 |
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14.8, +1.6, +2. A close home win over Purdue sees them climb slightly. |
20 |
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14.7, NR. With other teams losing, Pitt is back in the rankings. |
21 |
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14.5, -2.9, -12. The game felt closer up until the muffed punt, but the model looks at final score. |
22 |
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12.8, NR. Big win against K-State. |
23 |
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12.0, -2.8, -6. Strength of schedule tanked with Arizona State. |
24 |
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11.9, -3.3, -9. Despite the loss to Tulane, SP+ still likes them from the Missouri win. |
25 |
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11.6, NR. They’ve just been solid enough, and Bowling Green helped their strength of schedule this week. Honorable Mentions: Oregon State 11.5, Wake Forest 11.2, Purdue 11.0 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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1.29 |
5 |
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0.20 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.25 |
8 |
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16.64 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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1.58 |
11 |
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1.70 |
12 |
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0.25 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.28 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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-0.87 |
17 |
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3.00 |
18 |
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-1.60 |
19 |
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0.79 |
20 |
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0.97 |
21 |
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3.97 |
22 |
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0.47 |
23 |
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-1.84 |
24 |
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1.18 |
25 |
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0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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2.29 |
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0.63 |
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0.78 |
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0.48 |
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0.40 |
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0.09 |
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0.07 |
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0.02 |
Total Score: 41.67