Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 19, 2022, 1 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Weighted composite of FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 37.4, +5.8 from last week, - |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 30.0, +1.6, +1 position from last week |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 24.4, -4.1, -1. ND continues to drop, bringing Ohio State’s strength of schedule down with them. |
4 | Tennessee Volunteers | 23.3, +4.0, +1. The Pitt win looks even better. |
5 | USC Trojans | 21.1, +7.3, +14. They continue to win convincingly and are further removed from last year each week in FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO. |
6 | Oklahoma Sooners | 21.0, +4.0, +5. The margin of victory moves them up. |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 20.8, +3.4, +1. |
8 | LSU Tigers | 20.1, NR. Their win over Mississippi State was huge, and the loss to Florida State has been forgiven by the model due to how Florida State is playing. |
9 | Michigan Wolverines | 19.0, -1.7, -5. The model is starting to punish them for a weak OOC schedule while other teams already have signature wins. They’ll have their chances to move up later in the year. |
10 | Florida State Seminoles | 18.9, +5.5, +10. The win against LSU looks so much better now. |
11 | Texas Longhorns | 18.2, +2.0, +1. |
12 | Washington Huskies | 18.0, NR. They deserve recognition after controlling the Michigan State game. |
13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 17.9, +2.7, +2. |
14 | Oregon Ducks | 17.7, NR. Convincing win over BYU vaults them into the model’s rankings. |
15 | NC State Wolfpack | 17.6, +6.4, +10. The model had Texas Tech at #30 last week, so a solid win looks good on the Wolfpack. |
16 | Clemson Tigers | 16.3, -2.1, -10. Same as Michigan, the model doesn’t like their strength of schedule so far. |
17 | Michigan State Spartans | 15.7, +0.6, -1. The model likes Washington now, so that away loss did not drop the Spartans in the model as far as I was expecting. The model looks at final score, which was closer than the game felt. |
18 | Kentucky Wildcats | 15.2, -2.0, -8. Strength of schedule took a hit from the Florida game this week. |
19 | Syracuse Orange | 14.8, +1.6, +2. A close home win over Purdue sees them climb slightly. |
20 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 14.7, NR. With other teams losing, Pitt is back in the rankings. |
21 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14.5, -2.9, -12. The game felt closer up until the muffed punt, but the model looks at final score. |
22 | Tulane Green Wave | 12.8, NR. Big win against K-State. |
23 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 12.0, -2.8, -6. Strength of schedule tanked with Arizona State. |
24 | Kansas State Wildcats | 11.9, -3.3, -9. Despite the loss to Tulane, SP+ still likes them from the Missouri win. |
25 | UCLA Bruins | 11.6, NR. They’ve just been solid enough, and Bowling Green helped their strength of schedule this week. Honorable Mentions: Oregon State 11.5, Wake Forest 11.2, Purdue 11.0 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
4 | Tennessee Volunteers | 1.29 |
5 | USC Trojans | 0.20 |
6 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.25 |
8 | LSU Tigers | 16.64 |
9 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
10 | Florida State Seminoles | 1.58 |
11 | Texas Longhorns | 1.70 |
12 | Washington Huskies | 0.25 |
13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
14 | Oregon Ducks | 0.28 |
15 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.00 |
16 | Clemson Tigers | -0.87 |
17 | Michigan State Spartans | 3.00 |
18 | Kentucky Wildcats | -1.60 |
19 | Syracuse Orange | 0.79 |
20 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.97 |
21 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 3.97 |
22 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.47 |
23 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -1.84 |
24 | Kansas State Wildcats | 1.18 |
25 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Arkansas Razorbacks | 2.29 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.63 |
Utah Utes | 0.78 |
Baylor Bears | 0.48 |
BYU Cougars | 0.40 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers | 0.09 |
Oregon State Beavers | 0.07 |
Washington State Cougars | 0.02 |
Total Score: 41.67