Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 19, 2022, 1 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Weighted composite of FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
37.4, +5.8 from last week, - |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
30.0, +1.6, +1 position from last week |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
24.4, -4.1, -1. ND continues to drop, bringing Ohio State’s strength of schedule down with them. |
| 4 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
23.3, +4.0, +1. The Pitt win looks even better. |
| 5 |
USC Trojans
|
21.1, +7.3, +14. They continue to win convincingly and are further removed from last year each week in FPI, SP+, and accelerated ELO. |
| 6 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
21.0, +4.0, +5. The margin of victory moves them up. |
| 7 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
20.8, +3.4, +1. |
| 8 |
LSU Tigers
|
20.1, NR. Their win over Mississippi State was huge, and the loss to Florida State has been forgiven by the model due to how Florida State is playing. |
| 9 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
19.0, -1.7, -5. The model is starting to punish them for a weak OOC schedule while other teams already have signature wins. They’ll have their chances to move up later in the year. |
| 10 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
18.9, +5.5, +10. The win against LSU looks so much better now. |
| 11 |
Texas Longhorns
|
18.2, +2.0, +1. |
| 12 |
Washington Huskies
|
18.0, NR. They deserve recognition after controlling the Michigan State game. |
| 13 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
17.9, +2.7, +2. |
| 14 |
Oregon Ducks
|
17.7, NR. Convincing win over BYU vaults them into the model’s rankings. |
| 15 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
17.6, +6.4, +10. The model had Texas Tech at #30 last week, so a solid win looks good on the Wolfpack. |
| 16 |
Clemson Tigers
|
16.3, -2.1, -10. Same as Michigan, the model doesn’t like their strength of schedule so far. |
| 17 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
15.7, +0.6, -1. The model likes Washington now, so that away loss did not drop the Spartans in the model as far as I was expecting. The model looks at final score, which was closer than the game felt. |
| 18 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
15.2, -2.0, -8. Strength of schedule took a hit from the Florida game this week. |
| 19 |
Syracuse Orange
|
14.8, +1.6, +2. A close home win over Purdue sees them climb slightly. |
| 20 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
14.7, NR. With other teams losing, Pitt is back in the rankings. |
| 21 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
14.5, -2.9, -12. The game felt closer up until the muffed punt, but the model looks at final score. |
| 22 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
12.8, NR. Big win against K-State. |
| 23 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
12.0, -2.8, -6. Strength of schedule tanked with Arizona State. |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
11.9, -3.3, -9. Despite the loss to Tulane, SP+ still likes them from the Missouri win. |
| 25 |
UCLA Bruins
|
11.6, NR. They’ve just been solid enough, and Bowling Green helped their strength of schedule this week. Honorable Mentions: Oregon State 11.5, Wake Forest 11.2, Purdue 11.0 |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.29 |
| 5 |
USC Trojans
|
0.20 |
| 6 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.25 |
| 8 |
LSU Tigers
|
16.64 |
| 9 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
1.58 |
| 11 |
Texas Longhorns
|
1.70 |
| 12 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.25 |
| 13 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.28 |
| 15 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Clemson Tigers
|
-0.87 |
| 17 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
3.00 |
| 18 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
-1.60 |
| 19 |
Syracuse Orange
|
0.79 |
| 20 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.97 |
| 21 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
3.97 |
| 22 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
0.47 |
| 23 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
-1.84 |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
1.18 |
| 25 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
2.29 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.63 |
Utah Utes
|
0.78 |
Baylor Bears
|
0.48 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.40 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
0.09 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
0.07 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.02 |
Total Score: 41.67