Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 11, 2018, 9:26 a.m.
Overall Rationale: My poll is an ELO Poll which tracks teams performance against each other throughout the course of the year.  As such, I used the baseline of the following to determine preseason rankings: Average of the Projected Overall S&P, Projected Offensive S&P, Projected Defensive S&P, and Preseason AP Poll (26-Position) to determine the following ELOs: Top 25: 2400 26-50: 2200 50-100: 2000 101-130: 1800 This will be a primarily loss heavy ELO projection.  Much like playoff expectations, a loss will really hurt a team compared to winning.  If a team plays an FCS team.  A higher ranked team will be punished harder for beating an FCS opponent (net gain = 0 for top 25 programs) verses lower ranked teams (still only gaining minimal points) A few weeks will be required before the rankings look something coherent towards the AP Poll so in the meantime, expect variance to be large as teams settle into their positions by week 3 or 4.  You can segment my top tiers into the following groups: As you can see, teams that beat other rank teams leapfrog to the top for week 1.  As the season progresses, this will change based off teams actual SOS (not perceived). Texas went from 23rd to 48th, so they are definitely not back.
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Stanford Cardinal | 1.83 |
2 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1.69 |
3 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
4 | Auburn Tigers | 0.13 |
5 | LSU Tigers | 1.11 |
6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | -0.76 |
7 | Georgia Bulldogs | -0.33 |
8 | Oklahoma Sooners | -0.31 |
9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.03 |
10 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -0.92 |
11 | Wisconsin Badgers | -0.09 |
12 | Boise State Broncos | 0.59 |
13 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.11 |
14 | Utah Utes | 8.54 |
15 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
16 | Oregon Ducks | 0.79 |
17 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.14 |
18 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.25 |
19 | USC Trojans | 1.41 |
20 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.70 |
21 | Washington Huskies | -0.63 |
22 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
23 | Florida State Seminoles | 2.24 |
24 | Duke Blue Devils | 0.00 |
25 | Michigan State Spartans | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Virginia Tech Hokies | 2.48 |
West Virginia Mountaineers | 2.14 |
UCF Knights | 1.11 |
Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.33 |
Total Score: 28.66