Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 9, 2018, 9:23 a.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a backward looking resume-based computer poll that always rewards victory and always punishes defeat, with weight given to relative competition level (FCS, G5, P5). Like last year, the algorithm accounts for the record of the teams you play as well as those teams' opponents' records. The poll has been tweaked this year to add some new features, such as accounting for margin of victory/defeat by comparing the score differential from each game to each team's average score differential throughout the season. The algorithm also now accounts for 'game control', which I have defined as the ratio of points scored by each team (i.e., you are rewarded more for a 40-0 shutout [100% of points scored] than for a 70-30 blowout [70% of points scored], and punished less for a relatively narrow 52-49 defeat than a 3-0 shutout). This has the effect of slightly punishing victorious teams with bad defenses and losing teams with bad offenses, while rewarding victorious teams with good defenses and losing teams with good offenses. The results are much more reasonable now that almost every team has played at least two games. 
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.60 |
2 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.78 |
3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
4 | Stanford Cardinal | 0.84 |
5 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 19.67 |
6 | Duke Blue Devils | 5.62 |
7 | Colorado Buffaloes | 6.51 |
8 | Eastern Michigan Eagles | 17.12 |
9 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 15.88 |
10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
11 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 0.07 |
12 | Georgia Bulldogs | -2.00 |
13 | Houston Cougars | 4.67 |
14 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 3.64 |
15 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.00 |
16 | Indiana Hoosiers | 8.92 |
17 | NC State Wolfpack | 7.89 |
18 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 7.22 |
19 | Wisconsin Badgers | -2.00 |
20 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.00 |
21 | Oklahoma Sooners | -5.30 |
22 | Boise State Broncos | -0.41 |
23 | LSU Tigers | -2.10 |
24 | Kentucky Wildcats | 0.00 |
25 | USF Bulls | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Clemson Tigers | 6.14 |
Auburn Tigers | 5.41 |
Washington Huskies | 1.65 |
TCU Horned Frogs | 2.36 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.68 |
UCF Knights | 1.11 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.48 |
Oregon Ducks | 0.65 |
Michigan Wolverines | 0.50 |
Miami Hurricanes | 0.26 |
Texas A&M Aggies | 0.06 |
USC Trojans | 0.15 |
Total Score: 132.68