Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 18, 2017, 4:03 p.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a preseason power ranking, not a projection.  This is my overall assessment of where teams stand, and will have significant impact on my future ballots until there are enough on-field results to start altering things.My #1 factor in ranking teams to start the year will be coaching.  Great coaches and proven coaching staffs will get a significant bump early in the year, because most have earned the benefit of the doubt (while some mediocre coaches have earned necessary doubt).My #2 factor is recruiting, specifically teams' 5-year recruiting average.  Great players and real depth make way for great teams.After that, I focus on returning experience, general program momentum, stability at QB, and various circumstantial intangibles.Through-out the season, I will rely somewhat significantly on the "eye-test", and generally favor how good I feel a team is over resume.  This is a human ballot through-and-through, but I will assess how each team is performing in various statistical categories and take this into account.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Mostly here based on Ohio State having the best coaching staff in the country at the moment. 2nd in 5-year recruiting rankings. Returning senior QB. Expecting a significant jump in offensive production, otherwise Ohio State will fall a bit. |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Most proven coach in college football. #1 in 5-year recruiting rankings. Returning a QB and has talented back-up. Curious about how the new coaching hires will pan out. If there are struggles early in the season Alabama will slide a little, but I'd expect them to fix any problems by season's end. |
| 3 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
#5 in 5-year recruiting and has a national championship winning coach. Returns their QB and A LOT on defense. This team is loaded with talent and if their lines (specifically O) step up will be a big-time contender. |
| 4 |
USC Trojans
|
#4 in 5-year recruiting average. Has a proven playmaker at QB. I still need to see more out of Helton, but he finished last season strong and has a talented roster that returns a good amount. This team could get on a roll, and I expect them to make the playoff. |
| 5 |
LSU Tigers
|
Almost put them higher.#3 in 5-year recruiting rankings and I trust the coaching staff.With the returns I expect from a Matt Canada offense, this seems like the team that beat Bama. Still have a lot to prove, but have a returning QB to do it. |
| 6 |
Washington Huskies
|
Peterson's recruits are finally taking over the team. He returns most of his offense from last season, including his QB.Only #27 in 5-year recruiting average, but great coaching and returning production mean that this team that made the playoff last year (and played a gritty game against Bama) will be good. |
| 7 |
Clemson Tigers
|
1st of two teams with coaches that demand a top-ten ranking, even without the returning production to put them in the top-5. #12 in 5-year recruiting average, and great coordinators. |
| 8 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Solid recruiting for a long-time running and a top-class coaching staff with an established presence will demand top ten finishes for years to come. |
| 9 |
Auburn Tigers
|
|
| 10 |
Texas Longhorns
|
|
| 11 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
|
| 12 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
|
| 13 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 14 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
|
| 15 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
|
| 16 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
|
| 17 |
Florida Gators
|
|
| 18 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
|
| 19 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
|
| 21 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
|
| 22 |
Stanford Cardinal
|
|
| 23 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
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| 24 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
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| 25 |
BYU Cougars
|
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.16 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.34 |
| 6 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.13 |
| 9 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.39 |
| 10 |
Texas Longhorns
|
4.73 |
| 11 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.39 |
| 12 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-0.65 |
| 13 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.35 |
| 14 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
-0.25 |
| 15 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
-1.06 |
| 19 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
5.47 |
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
3.00 |
| 21 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.54 |
| 22 |
Stanford Cardinal
|
-1.33 |
| 23 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.12 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.54 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
0.59 |
USF Bulls
|
0.45 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
0.47 |
Utah Utes
|
0.03 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.07 |
Total Score: 23.06