Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Dec. 1, 2024, 4:30 p.m.

Overall Rationale: The JB Rankings from https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/12nja3j/ranking_the_top_131_fbs_programs_of_the_last_40/ make their way to the r/CFB Poll...and time to put my money where my mouth is, how good are these rankings actually, was the whole series just BS? The JB Rankings are a computer model that, in a nutshell, gives you points for a win, takes away points for a loss, and divides your cumulative score by log(games played + 1). So every team starts out with 0 resume points which go up/down depending on how they play during the year. For each game, opponent record, opponent conference, at what point in the season the game was played, and scoring margin are taken into account. The model rewards you for playing a tough schedule. If you beat a great team, you get a lot of points. If you lose to a great team, you only lose a few points. If you beat a bad team, you only get a few points. If you lose to a bad team, you lose a lot of points. Time to see how accurate this "proprietary ranking algorithm" really is! Side note: this algorithm definitely needs some tweaking for 2024 and beyond. Some of the big names flocking to the SEC/Big Ten has messed up the strength of schedule ratings for each conference.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Oregon Ducks
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
3	Texas Longhorns
4	SMU Mustangs
5	Ohio State Buckeyes
6	Penn State Nittany Lions
7	Georgia Bulldogs
8	Indiana Hoosiers
9	Boise State Broncos
10	Alabama Crimson Tide
11	Miami Hurricanes
12	Tennessee Volunteers
13	Iowa State Cyclones
14	BYU Cougars
15	Ole Miss Rebels
16	South Carolina Gamecocks
17	Arizona State Sun Devils
18	Syracuse Orange
19	Colorado Buffaloes
20	Louisville Cardinals
21	UNLV Rebels
22	Clemson Tigers
23	Army West Point
24	Missouri Tigers
25	Illinois Fighting Illini

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Oregon Ducks	0.00
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.32
3	Texas Longhorns	0.00
4	SMU Mustangs	0.42
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.10
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	-0.35
7	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
8	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
9	Boise State Broncos	0.00
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.29
11	Miami Hurricanes	0.33
12	Tennessee Volunteers	-0.32
13	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
14	BYU Cougars	0.00
15	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
16	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.00
17	Arizona State Sun Devils	-0.71
18	Syracuse Orange	0.70
19	Colorado Buffaloes	0.06
20	Louisville Cardinals	1.95
21	UNLV Rebels	0.00
22	Clemson Tigers	-0.22
23	Army West Point	0.00
24	Missouri Tigers	0.00
25	Illinois Fighting Illini	-0.42

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Memphis Tigers	0.16

Total Score: 6.34