Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Dec. 3, 2024, 8:48 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Reranked every week- That's the part to remember. Losing doesn't mean you fall- winning doesn't mean you move up
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | LW: 1. Comfortably #1. Will be either the 1 or 5 seed |
2 | Texas Longhorns | LW. 6. I did an overall resume review of teams 2-6 and Texas came out looking a lot more favourably. 8 wins over Bowl Eligible teams are the most in the country (tied), and they've won most by more than 1 posession. No top tier quality wins but can get one in the SECCG. |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | LW: 2. I think they have enough quality wins still to justify this rankings. I feel like the 2-3 teams are tied. I think if they swapped schedules, they'd probably have the same record. 2 top 10 wins, best loss in the country. 2nd loss isn't good, but they still beat PSU on the road and have more ranked wins than Texas. I keep swapping them with UGA while writing this so I don't even know where they'll be ranked. |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | LW: 3. OSU vs UGA is a great debate for me. UGA has a better best win, and a better worse loss is the difference. Still destroyed Texas on the road. I see a case for the buckeyes over UGA (more bowl eligible teams beat, looked so much better in said wins). UGA hasn't looked very good against lesser teams though. Kentucky, Miss St, UMass, and Ga Tech can all be seen as not great games while OSU has only Nebraska and Michigan. For now the slight edge goes to tOSU. |
5 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | LW: 4. Still the worst loss in the top 10 by far. only reason they drop is because Texas looks better with a decent win @ Kyle Field. Will probably get the 5 seed (imo should get the 6 seed but it's alright). Recency bias is a hell of a drug, but ND looks great still. |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | LW: 5. I feel like people have gone too easy on PSU. They've had the same issues as UGA where a lot of games were too close for comfort. Still a better loss than Texas but they now have a better win so they get jumped. Good Luck vs Oregon. If they win they could be number 1 |
7 | SMU Mustangs | LW: 7. They look better and better with every week. Please beat Clemson- I'm begging you. They have no business being near they playoffs- just get it done and you're 3rd. |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | LW: 8. Sitting contently in the playoffs- congrats to them. 1 good win over Bama carries the day, but they only have 1 bad loss unlike some other teams. Not much else to say here. |
9 | Indiana Hoosiers | LW: 10. Only 3 bowl eligible teams beaten isn't great, but they're still 11-1. That's good enough for the playoffs most of the time. Godspeed WINdiana |
10 | Boise State Broncos | LW: 11. Ashton Jeanty. Gameday should've be at BSU next week (even though it's on friday) because it's on campus and for a playoff spot. If they lose they're out, but Ashton Jeanty |
11 | Arizona State Sun Devils | LW: 12. ASU is underrated due to preseason bias. They should be much higher with wins over BYU, and KSU. They're playing their best Football right now, destroying AZ |
12 | Alabama Crimson Tide | LW: 14. Alabama should be in the playoffs- I said it. 3 wins over top 30 teams is near the top, if not at the top. Better losses than ole Piss, beat Georgia, which is obviously a great win. However I see the argument for the next team to be over them. Bama has 2 non top 30 losses which is not good, and that Oklahoma game was maybe the worst a top 15 team has looked all year. |
13 | Miami Hurricanes | LW: 9. Tough loss but Cuse is good. Miami has wins over 6 Bowl Eligible teams, but their last loss threw away their guaranteed CFP spot. No great wins besides louisville leaves Miami in the hands of fate, and I wouldn't want to be the ACC team against Alabama for the last spot. |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | LW: 15. Ole Piss has 3 losses to teams outside the top 30. Their quality wins bring them up, however. They shouldn't be in the playoffs, they don't deserve it and it's all their own fault. |
15 | South Carolina Gamecocks | LW: 16 Now it really isn't their fault when they get left out. I always said Clemson wasn't that good so beating them is not a big deal to me. They have 3 wins over top 30 teams and all their losses have come to that or Refball. If they had 2 losses, they'd be in. Unfortunately for them they're stuck behind a team that crushed them on the road. SEC really shot itself in the foot. |
16 | BYU Cougars | LW: 13. This isn't as much about BYU playing poorly as it is about putting their resume altogether. They only beat 3 bowl eligible teams and lost to one that didn't even make it. Win over SMU is still great but unfortunately it's Mormover. |
17 | Iowa State Cyclones | LW: 17 They have more losses against non-top 30 teams than wins against top 30 teams. They're just kind of vibing rn. Win the CCG and you're in. |
18 | Syracuse Orange | LW: 24. Cuse benifits most from my more in-depth re-evaluation of all teams. They have as many wins over bowl eligible teams as anybody- 8. Beating Miami and UNLV is great. 3 non top 30 loses isn't as great, but their bowl eligible resume puts them this high. |
19 | UNLV Rebels | LW: 22. Rebels just need to win to get in. It will be difficult against the best player in the nation, but we will see how they fare. Pretty comfortable placement here for me- didn't need to think hard about where the should be. |
20 | Army West Point | LW: 23. 3 bowl eligible team beaten is more than I thought. Only way they get in is if they DESTROY Tulane and UNLV squeaks out a win. 1 loss, so they're high. |
21 | Memphis Tigers | LW: UR. Nice win @ a good Tulane team- their best of the season. They also only have 3 wins over bowl eligible teams. Loss to UTSA keeps them behind Army |
22 | Louisville Cardinals | LW: UR I've said it all year- BEST 4 LOSS TEAM IN THE COUNTRY. Destroyed Clemson on the road so have to be ahead of them. See Ole Miss? That's how you beat a bad Kentucky team. from 20-30 was all pretty interchangeable- I'm just really high on a good Louisville team who's lost to 3 top 15 teams by 1 score. |
23 | Texas A&M Aggies | LW: 19. Gotta put them ahead of Mizzou imo. Wins look worse and worse but at least Texas finally has a ranked win. |
24 | Missouri Tigers | LW: UR. I dreaded this day, but Midzou has looked competent recently. They also have 5 wins over bowl eligible teams. Uninspiring but sure, it won't kill me to. have them at 24. |
25 | Kansas State Wildcats | LW: 20. Protest vote. 2024 is the year of the overrated TIger teams. Mizzou, then LSU, now Clemson. CLEMSON HASNT BEATEN ANYBODY. they have 1 win over a team above .500. KSU beat 2 solid teams in Tulane and Colorado and only got destroyed in 1 of their losses. 3 of their 4 losses have come to ranked teams on the road, 3/4 of their losses are by 1 score. If Clemson wins the ACC, I'd consider putting Army in instead. HMs: Clemson, Tulane, Colorado, Duke, Illinois (why I pointed out top 30 wins) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
2 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.86 |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.20 |
5 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | -0.35 |
7 | SMU Mustangs | 0.00 |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
9 | Indiana Hoosiers | 0.00 |
10 | Boise State Broncos | 0.00 |
11 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.00 |
12 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
13 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
15 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.00 |
16 | BYU Cougars | 0.00 |
17 | Iowa State Cyclones | -0.09 |
18 | Syracuse Orange | 0.70 |
19 | UNLV Rebels | 0.00 |
20 | Army West Point | 0.00 |
21 | Memphis Tigers | 0.12 |
22 | Louisville Cardinals | 0.80 |
23 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.29 |
24 | Missouri Tigers | 0.00 |
25 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Clemson Tigers | 1.48 |
Colorado Buffaloes | 0.87 |
Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.80 |
Total Score: 6.56