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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2023 Week 12

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Nov. 13, 2023, 11:57 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 12 notes: Deservedness keeping 2-loss teams such as Penn State and Missouri behind 0-loss teams such as Liberty and 3-loss teams such as Notre Dame and LSU behind 1-loss teams such as Toledo. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 6-2 Notre Dame can be ranked over 7-1 Missouri, but 6-2 Notre Dame cannot be ranked over 7-0 Liberty even if Notre Dame beat Liberty heads up, rankings have Notre Dame over Liberty, and/or I think Notre Dame is better than Liberty)

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes If season were to end right now: Rose Bowl. I have them losing to Michigan in the season finale
2 Washington Huskies If season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl
3 Michigan Wolverines If season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl. I have them beating Ohio State and winning the Big Ten
4 Georgia Bulldogs If season were to end right now: Rose Bowl. I have FSU in the top four with Michigan, Washington, and Georgia
5 Florida State Seminoles If season were to end right now: Orange Bowl. I have them winning the ACC and making the 4-team playoff
6 Oregon Ducks If season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl
7 Texas Longhorns If season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl
8 Alabama Crimson Tide If season were to end right now: Orange Bowl
9 Louisville Cardinals If season were to end right now: Peach Bowl
10 James Madison Dukes If season were to end right now: Peach Bowl (at-large and not enough 6-6+ bowl-eligible teams)
11 Tulane Green Wave If season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl
12 Liberty Flames If season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl. As the lowest-ranked 0-loss team, they are blocking all of the 2+ loss teams from being ranked ahead of them (Deservedness)
13 Penn State Nittany Lions Would be ranked ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
14 Missouri Tigers Would be ranked ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
15 Ole Miss Rebels Would be ranked ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
16 Oklahoma Sooners Would be ranked ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
17 Oregon State Beavers Would be ranked ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
18 North Carolina Tar Heels Would be ranked ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
19 SMU Mustangs Would be ranked ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness
20 Iowa Hawkeyes Would be ranked ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
21 Troy Trojans Would be ranked ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
22 Memphis Tigers Would be ranked ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
23 Fresno State Bulldogs Would be ranked ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
24 UNLV Rebels Would be ranked ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
25 Air Force Falcons Next five: Toledo (lowest-ranked 1-loss team and preventing any 3+ loss teams being ranked behind them), Notre Dame, LSU, Kansas State, Arizona (would be ranked ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness)

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