Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Jan. 11, 2023, 8:53 p.m.
Overall Rationale: This might seem ridiculous to some at the top - but in the end, postseason polls are pretty meaningless and inconsequential. To willingly fill out a postseason poll, I feel like taking full body of work into account is warranted. If other teams are negatively impacted by their bowl game performances, no matter how many starters didn't play, or who their opponent was, playoff teams should not be exempt from this same methodology. So let's look at the top - Ohio State's 2 losses were to (my) postseason #5 (home, by 22 - bad, no way around it) and to postseason #1 (neutral, by 1, obviously). Alabama's 2 losses were to postseason #6 (away, by 3) and #14 (away, by 1). TCU's were both in their last 3 games, to #16 (neutral, by 3) and #1 (neutral, by 59). OSU holds 2 final top 25 wins (#7 away and #17 home), Alabama holds 1 (#21, home), and TCU holds 2 (#16 home and #5 neutral) On that resume, they're all roughly equitable, and you can see how I would evaluate that below, mostly due to recency. The former two were, for better or worse, beneficiaries of having one (or two, depending on how you look at it) fewer games *to* lose. But on a resume-based evaluation? Just placing TCU 2nd on account of making the national championship seems to be disregarding all the other info I take into account for every other poll, and I don't want to change my evaluation based on the timing of the poll.
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
2 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.36 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.12 |
5 | TCU Horned Frogs | -0.07 |
6 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
8 | Washington Huskies | 0.00 |
9 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.00 |
10 | USC Trojans | 0.40 |
11 | Oregon State Beavers | 1.06 |
12 | Oregon Ducks | 0.26 |
13 | Florida State Seminoles | 0.00 |
14 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
15 | Utah Utes | -0.35 |
16 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
17 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
18 | Clemson Tigers | -1.14 |
19 | Troy Trojans | 0.00 |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
21 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.13 |
22 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 2.63 |
23 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
24 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
25 | Air Force Falcons | 0.00 |