Ballot Detail

Go to poll results >>

Ballot Type: computer

Overall Rationale:
Probabilistic model that uses Bayesian inference on a team's results to assign a probability of a team's rating given all their results to date. No information outside of the current season is used. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. No games against FCS opponents are counted. It is seeded from 0 each week and then iterated until ratings stabilize, so past weeks' results are reevaluated from the perspective of the current week. Numerical scores for each team represent how many points above or below average they are. Subtract scores to get an estimated spread between two teams, with 4 points give to the home team.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes 42.4
2 LSU Tigers 32.8
3 Clemson Tigers 32.3
4 Alabama Crimson Tide 29.2
5 Wisconsin Badgers 26.9
6 Oklahoma Sooners 25.2
7 Oregon Ducks 24.9
8 Utah Utes 24.3
9 Auburn Tigers 24.1
10 Georgia Bulldogs 22.7 but they smell like butt
11 Penn State Nittany Lions 21.9
12 Florida Gators 21.7
13 Michigan Wolverines 21.0
14 Baylor Bears 20.9
15 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 18.8
16 Iowa State Cyclones 18.5
17 Memphis Tigers 16.0
18 Texas Longhorns 15.6
19 Iowa Hawkeyes 15.5
20 Washington Huskies 15.0
21 Minnesota Golden Gophers 14.5
22 UCF Knights 13.9
23 Navy Midshipmen 13.7
24 Oklahoma State Cowboys 13.6
25 Kansas State Wildcats 13.5

Submitted: Tue 10 Dec 2019 03:40