Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Jan. 10, 2023, 4:29 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Final notes: Deservedness keeps teams such as Texas out when I would have them over some of the teams in this poll. General notes: 1st layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 10-4 Utah can be ranked over 11-3 USC, but 10-4 Utah cannot be ranked over 12-2 Troy even if Utah beat Troy heads up, rankings have Utah over Troy, and/or I think Utah is better than Troy).
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | Self-explanatory |
2 | TCU Horned Frogs | I think Michigan would win in a rematch, but heads up has to matter |
3 | Michigan Wolverines | I think Michigan has more talent than TCU, but heads up has to matter |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | I think Ohio State would have beaten TCU, but due to heads up results Ohio State is #4 |
5 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Only losses were to Michigan (blowout) and Ohio state (close) |
6 | Tennessee Volunteers | Close-ish loss to Georgia and one loss to South Carolina doesn’t take away from the fact they were really good and have head to head and common opponent over Alabama |
7 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Needs to be penalized for losing heads up to Alabama and LSU |
8 | Clemson Tigers | They were still a good team. People are saying they suck while comparing them to past Clemson teams |
9 | Florida State Seminoles | Strong finish and their losses earlier in the season were due to those teams being healthy at those times (and fell off later) |
10 | Tulane Green Wave | Have to give them head to head over USC |
11 | USC Trojans | Still a very talented team - if they had closed out Tulane or won one of the Utah games, they’d be much higher |
12 | Washington Huskies | Had a bad loss to Arizona State, but wins over teams like Texas make up for it |
13 | Oregon State Beavers | Head to head over Oregon |
14 | Oregon Ducks | Still a solid team |
15 | Troy Trojans | Deservedness factor is the reason they’re above most of the 4-loss teams |
16 | Utah Utes | Would be in the top 10 if not for Deservedness |
17 | LSU Tigers | Would be ranked above Troy if not for Deservedness |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | Would be ranked above Troy if not for Deservedness |
19 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Would be ranked above Troy if not for Deservedness |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Would be ranked above Troy if not for Deservedness |
21 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Difference between Troy is minimal |
22 | Pittsburgh Panthers | Difference between Troy is minimal |
23 | Duke Blue Devils | Difference between Troy is minimal |
24 | UCLA Bruins | Troy would still be ranked above UCLA even if no Deservedness was in play |
25 | Cincinnati Bearcats | Next seven: 26 UTSA, 27 Fresno State, 28 South Alabama, 29 Boise State, 30 Air Force, 31 James Madison, 32 Texas. Deservedness keeping James Madison above 5+ loss teams |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
2 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
3 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
5 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.69 |
6 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
7 | Alabama Crimson Tide | -0.11 |
8 | Clemson Tigers | 1.01 |
9 | Florida State Seminoles | 0.51 |
10 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.00 |
11 | USC Trojans | 0.02 |
12 | Washington Huskies | -0.38 |
13 | Oregon State Beavers | 0.19 |
14 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
15 | Troy Trojans | 0.26 |
16 | Utah Utes | -0.69 |
17 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | -0.67 |
19 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
21 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 3.63 |
22 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.00 |
23 | Duke Blue Devils | 1.62 |
24 | UCLA Bruins | -0.04 |
25 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.15 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.39 |
Fresno State Bulldogs | 0.28 |
Total Score: 10.63