NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2022 Final
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Jan. 9, 2023, 10:44 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Maximum a posteriori estimate of their Bradley-Terry ratings (scaled to be like FPI). Each team starts with a prior of 0.5 win and 0.5 loss against a fictitious opponent of rating 0.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
50.08 (15-0) |
| 2 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
35.27 (13-1) |
| 3 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
32.63 (13-2) |
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
31.83 (11-2) |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
31.38 (11-2) |
| 6 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
|
28.70 (14-1) |
| 7 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
28.12 (11-2) |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
27.82 (11-2) |
| 9 |
Oregon Ducks
|
24.26 (10-3) |
| 10 |
LSU Tigers
|
23.51 (10-4) |
| 11 |
Washington Huskies
|
23.24 (11-2) |
| 12 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
23.09 (10-3) |
| 13 |
Clemson Tigers
|
22.82 (11-3) |
| 14 |
USC Trojans
|
22.64 (11-3) |
| 15 |
Holy Cross Crusaders
|
22.52 (12-1) |
| 16 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
22.24 (10-4) |
| 17 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
22.11 (12-2) |
| 18 |
Montana State Bobcats
|
20.99 (12-2) |
| 19 |
Utah Utes
|
20.70 (10-4) |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
20.13 (9-4) |
| 21 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
19.55 (10-3) |
| 22 |
Sacramento State Hornets
|
19.53 (12-1) |
| 23 |
Troy Trojans
|
18.93 (12-2) |
| 24 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
18.43 (12-3) |
| 25 |
Samford Bulldogs
|
17.83 (11-2) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.36 |
| 3 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
|
18.87 |
| 7 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-0.11 |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-0.08 |
| 9 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1.38 |
| 10 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.77 |
| 11 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
0.62 |
| 13 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Holy Cross Crusaders
|
10.21 |
| 16 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
-1.54 |
| 18 |
Montana State Bobcats
|
7.22 |
| 19 |
Utah Utes
|
-1.69 |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
-2.10 |
| 22 |
Sacramento State Hornets
|
3.22 |
| 23 |
Troy Trojans
|
-0.17 |
| 24 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
1.24 |
| 25 |
Samford Bulldogs
|
0.25 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
2.36 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.83 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.68 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
0.39 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
0.28 |
Total Score: 54.37