Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 28, 2022, 8:33 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Strength of record rankings. These rankings use my predictive power rankings to calculate the probability that an average FBS team would have the given team's record (or better) against their schedule. Those probabilities are shown for each team.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	TCU Horned Frogs	0.00%
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00%
3	Michigan Wolverines	0.01%
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.07%
5	USC Trojans	0.11%
6	Tennessee Volunteers	0.17%
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.20%
8	Kansas State Wildcats	0.31%
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.53%
10	LSU Tigers	0.98%
11	Clemson Tigers	1.03%
12	Texas Longhorns	1.14%
13	Washington Huskies	1.94%
14	Oregon Ducks	2.26%
15	Tulane Green Wave	2.46%
16	Florida State Seminoles	3.64%
17	Oregon State Beavers	3.98%
18	Utah Utes	3.99%
19	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5.10%
20	South Carolina Gamecocks	5.86%
21	Texas Tech Red Raiders	6.60%
22	Troy Trojans	6.90%
23	UCLA Bruins	7.88%
24	North Carolina Tar Heels	8.50%
25	Ole Miss Rebels	9.08%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	TCU Horned Frogs	1.12
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
3	Michigan Wolverines	-0.43
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.23
5	USC Trojans	0.00
6	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
8	Kansas State Wildcats	0.67
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
10	LSU Tigers	0.35
11	Clemson Tigers	0.00
12	Texas Longhorns	1.46
13	Washington Huskies	-0.35
14	Oregon Ducks	0.00
15	Tulane Green Wave	0.00
16	Florida State Seminoles	0.00
17	Oregon State Beavers	0.00
18	Utah Utes	-1.19
19	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.86
20	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.00
21	Texas Tech Red Raiders	4.14
22	Troy Trojans	0.00
23	UCLA Bruins	-0.99
24	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.00
25	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.03
UTSA Roadrunners	0.33
UCF Knights	0.36

Total Score: 14.52