Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 28, 2022, 7:53 a.m.
Overall Rationale: These are the teams I believe are the best in college football. In general, I would expect any given team to win more than 50% of the time on a neutral field against all the teams ranked below it. I start with an average of predictive computer models and make subjective adjustments as necessary. It would be very dumb indeed to determine a playoff based on these rankings. Playoffs should be determined by some objective measure of deservedness, not by an analysis of which teams are best. But the latter is what I understand to be the purpose of a poll.
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 2.23 |
3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1.83 |
4 | Michigan Wolverines | -1.43 |
5 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.33 |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.33 |
7 | Texas Longhorns | 2.70 |
8 | TCU Horned Frogs | -3.70 |
9 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.34 |
10 | Utah Utes | 0.08 |
11 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
12 | Florida State Seminoles | 0.07 |
13 | USC Trojans | -3.55 |
14 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
15 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
16 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.83 |
17 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 2.85 |
18 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 7.02 |
19 | Washington Huskies | -2.43 |
20 | Baylor Bears | 5.17 |
21 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 3.51 |
22 | Ole Miss Rebels | 2.60 |
23 | Oregon State Beavers | -2.03 |
24 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1.23 |
25 | Louisville Cardinals | 0.22 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Tulane Green Wave | 1.98 |
UCLA Bruins | 1.95 |
South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.92 |
UTSA Roadrunners | 0.33 |
Troy Trojans | 0.02 |
UCF Knights | 0.36 |
North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.13 |
Total Score: 50.18