Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 28, 2022, 7:53 a.m.
Overall Rationale: These are the teams I believe are the best in college football. In general, I would expect any given team to win more than 50% of the time on a neutral field against all the teams ranked below it. I start with an average of predictive computer models and make subjective adjustments as necessary. It would be very dumb indeed to determine a playoff based on these rankings. Playoffs should be determined by some objective measure of deservedness, not by an analysis of which teams are best. But the latter is what I understand to be the purpose of a poll.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
2.23 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
1.83 |
| 4 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-1.43 |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.33 |
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.33 |
| 7 |
Texas Longhorns
|
2.70 |
| 8 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
-3.70 |
| 9 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.34 |
| 10 |
Utah Utes
|
0.08 |
| 11 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
0.07 |
| 13 |
USC Trojans
|
-3.55 |
| 14 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.83 |
| 17 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
2.85 |
| 18 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
7.02 |
| 19 |
Washington Huskies
|
-2.43 |
| 20 |
Baylor Bears
|
5.17 |
| 21 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
3.51 |
| 22 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
2.60 |
| 23 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
-2.03 |
| 24 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1.23 |
| 25 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.22 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Tulane Green Wave
|
1.98 |
UCLA Bruins
|
1.95 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
0.92 |
UTSA Roadrunners
|
0.33 |
Troy Trojans
|
0.02 |
UCF Knights
|
0.36 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
0.13 |
Total Score: 50.18