Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 27, 2022, 5:13 p.m.

Overall Rationale: FIRST FIVE OUT: 26. South Carolina, 27. Troy, 28. Syracuse, 29. Louisville, 30. Wake Forest. There are two ideologies for polls. 1. Who would win in a theoretical matchup? and 2. Who has the best report card? This is a 100% computer poll following the latter idea. It is driven only on record and strength of schedule, so no pre-season bias. However, that means at the beginning of the season it is hard to know which losses are quality losses and which are bad losses because of everyone's short resume`, so teams will move a lot until week 6 where it will steady out. Because of this, teams who lose early are punished more harshly, but past weeks are recalculated every update. For example, a loss to Texas A&M looks worse as they continue to lose, but a win over Notre Dame looks better as they continue to win. Here's the Google Sheet <https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16My3i5VVLvHbTRD2GuJbogY9NHk0rfKmj3NOtHR4b14/edit?usp=sharing>. Rank Summary shows the results and you can enter any team for a more specific snapshot on Team Summary.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	TCU Horned Frogs
2	Georgia Bulldogs
3	USC Trojans
4	Michigan Wolverines
5	Alabama Crimson Tide
6	Ohio State Buckeyes
7	Clemson Tigers
8	Kansas State Wildcats
9	Tennessee Volunteers
10	Texas Longhorns
11	Florida State Seminoles
12	Oregon Ducks
13	Penn State Nittany Lions
14	LSU Tigers
15	Washington Huskies
16	Utah Utes
17	Oregon State Beavers
18	UCLA Bruins
19	Mississippi State Bulldogs
20	NC State Wolfpack
21	Ole Miss Rebels
22	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
23	Texas Tech Red Raiders
24	Tulane Green Wave
25	North Carolina Tar Heels

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	TCU Horned Frogs	1.12
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
3	USC Trojans	0.05
4	Michigan Wolverines	-1.43
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.50
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.27
7	Clemson Tigers	0.78
8	Kansas State Wildcats	0.67
9	Tennessee Volunteers	-0.06
10	Texas Longhorns	1.96
11	Florida State Seminoles	0.42
12	Oregon Ducks	0.61
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	-2.00
14	LSU Tigers	0.00
15	Washington Huskies	-1.05
16	Utah Utes	-0.50
17	Oregon State Beavers	0.00
18	UCLA Bruins	0.00
19	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.86
20	NC State Wolfpack	4.68
21	Ole Miss Rebels	3.60
22	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
23	Texas Tech Red Raiders	2.14
24	Tulane Green Wave	-1.40
25	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
South Carolina Gamecocks	0.92
UTSA Roadrunners	0.33
Troy Trojans	0.02
UCF Knights	0.36

Total Score: 26.72