Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 2, 2022, 4:35 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 6 notes: Deservedness keeps Texas, Baylor out when I would have them in my general top 25. I expect to see them back in the list if/when JMU, Syracuse, Coastal Carolina and other undefeated lose. General: 1st layer, computer portion: SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer, human portion: home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer, human portion: wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer, computer portion: Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 2-2 App State cannot be ranked over 4-0 Coastal Carolina even if rankings have App State over Coastal Carolina and/or I think App State is better than Coastal Carolina).
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Might drop if they struggle and Bryce is out for a long time |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
|
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Two consecutive struggles |
| 4 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Two consecutive ranked wins |
| 5 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Drop a bit due to Iowa game, but might bump up if Georgia continues to struggle |
| 6 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Might roll for a while |
| 7 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
Solid road win vaults pushes them up |
| 8 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
I don’t think they should be this high, but letting the computer portion roll for now - LSU game will be a good indicator |
| 9 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Good wins after a horrible week 1 that seems like it could’ve been closer had the game occurred this week |
| 10 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
A close loss on the road to the #4 team shouldn’t drop them |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Auburn and Northwestern wins aren’t as great |
| 12 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
A close loss on the road to the #6 team shouldn’t drop them |
| 13 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
Solid win + close loss to #5 team |
| 14 |
USC Trojans
|
I think this is too high, but letting it roll for now |
| 15 |
Utah Utes
|
Due to both team’s schedules, game with Utah will most likely have them drop or stay even with a close loss |
| 16 |
UCLA Bruins
|
Due to both team’s schedules, game with Utah will most likely have them drop or stay even with a close loss |
| 17 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
Good wins hinge on Oklahoma recovering and SMU beating UCF. SMU was big rivalry game so I allow close margins to not affect ranking movement much. |
| 18 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
Somewhat close loss to #13 wouldn’t normally drop them, but the rise is due to 1-loss teams losing, becoming 2-loss teams, and unable to be ranked over any 0-loss teams |
| 19 |
LSU Tigers
|
Struggled versus Auburn, but Auburn is still talent and LSU still exceeding expectations |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
|
| 21 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
Loss to Arkansas doesn’t look as good, but Arkansas still was and is a solid team even if they can’t be ranked due to deservedness factor |
| 22 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
Close road loss to #5 shouldn’t penalize them. Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
| 23 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
| 24 |
Washington Huskies
|
Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
| 25 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.40 |
| 7 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.60 |
| 10 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
1.08 |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
0.27 |
| 13 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.07 |
| 14 |
USC Trojans
|
-0.89 |
| 15 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
1.84 |
| 19 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.53 |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.33 |
| 22 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
0.92 |
| 23 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
-0.12 |
| 24 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
-1.32 |