Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 2, 2022, 4:35 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 6 notes: Deservedness keeps Texas, Baylor out when I would have them in my general top 25. I expect to see them back in the list if/when JMU, Syracuse, Coastal Carolina and other undefeated lose. General: 1st layer, computer portion: SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer, human portion: home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer, human portion: wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer, computer portion: Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 2-2 App State cannot be ranked over 4-0 Coastal Carolina even if rankings have App State over Coastal Carolina and/or I think App State is better than Coastal Carolina).
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Might drop if they struggle and Bryce is out for a long time |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | Two consecutive struggles |
4 | Clemson Tigers | Two consecutive ranked wins |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | Drop a bit due to Iowa game, but might bump up if Georgia continues to struggle |
6 | Ole Miss Rebels | Might roll for a while |
7 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Solid road win vaults pushes them up |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | I don’t think they should be this high, but letting the computer portion roll for now - LSU game will be a good indicator |
9 | Oregon Ducks | Good wins after a horrible week 1 that seems like it could’ve been closer had the game occurred this week |
10 | NC State Wolfpack | A close loss on the road to the #4 team shouldn’t drop them |
11 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Auburn and Northwestern wins aren’t as great |
12 | Kentucky Wildcats | A close loss on the road to the #6 team shouldn’t drop them |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Solid win + close loss to #5 team |
14 | USC Trojans | I think this is too high, but letting it roll for now |
15 | Utah Utes | Due to both team’s schedules, game with Utah will most likely have them drop or stay even with a close loss |
16 | UCLA Bruins | Due to both team’s schedules, game with Utah will most likely have them drop or stay even with a close loss |
17 | TCU Horned Frogs | Good wins hinge on Oklahoma recovering and SMU beating UCF. SMU was big rivalry game so I allow close margins to not affect ranking movement much. |
18 | Florida State Seminoles | Somewhat close loss to #13 wouldn’t normally drop them, but the rise is due to 1-loss teams losing, becoming 2-loss teams, and unable to be ranked over any 0-loss teams |
19 | LSU Tigers | Struggled versus Auburn, but Auburn is still talent and LSU still exceeding expectations |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | |
21 | Cincinnati Bearcats | Loss to Arkansas doesn’t look as good, but Arkansas still was and is a solid team even if they can’t be ranked due to deservedness factor |
22 | Maryland Terrapins | Close road loss to #5 shouldn’t penalize them. Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
23 | Kansas State Wildcats | Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
24 | Washington Huskies | Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
25 | Kansas Jayhawks | Wouldn’t normally have them ranked, but deservedness pushed a few teams out. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
6 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.40 |
7 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
9 | Oregon Ducks | 0.60 |
10 | NC State Wolfpack | 1.08 |
11 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
12 | Kentucky Wildcats | 0.27 |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.07 |
14 | USC Trojans | -0.89 |
15 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
16 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
17 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
18 | Florida State Seminoles | 1.84 |
19 | LSU Tigers | 0.53 |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
21 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.33 |
22 | Maryland Terrapins | 0.92 |
23 | Kansas State Wildcats | -0.12 |
24 | Washington Huskies | 0.00 |
25 | Kansas Jayhawks | -1.32 |