Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 21, 2021, 1:35 a.m.
Overall Rationale: My program ranks teams by looking at the number of transitive wins/losses a team has and then using a series of tie-breakers to differentiate spots. The poll has very little inertia in the first few weeks, but should stabilize as the season goes on. The only data used is games against FBS teams in 2021. Listed below are each team's transitive wins.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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12 ['West Virginia', 'Illinois', 'Virginia Tech', 'Nebraska', 'North Carolina', 'Middle Tennessee', 'Buffalo', 'Georgia State', 'Virginia', 'Charlotte', 'Duke', 'Northwestern'] |
2 |
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11 ['Fresno State', 'Ohio State', 'UConn', 'UCLA', 'Minnesota', 'Tulsa', 'Hawaii', 'LSU', 'Miami (OH)', 'Colorado', 'Central Michigan'] |
3 |
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11 ['Virginia Tech', 'North Carolina', 'Middle Tennessee', 'Georgia State', 'Virginia', 'Charlotte', 'Illinois', 'Duke', 'Nebraska', 'Northwestern', 'Buffalo'] |
4 |
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10 ['Stanford', 'Nevada', 'USC', 'Vanderbilt', 'California', 'San Jose State', 'Washington State', 'Colorado State', 'Hawaii', 'Toledo'] |
5 |
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10 ['North Carolina', 'Middle Tennessee', 'Georgia State', 'Virginia', 'Charlotte', 'Illinois', 'Duke', 'Nebraska', 'Northwestern', 'Buffalo'] |
6 |
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9 ['Western Michigan', 'Washington', 'Northern Illinois', 'Pittsburgh', 'Arkansas State', 'Georgia Tech', 'Massachusetts', 'Tennessee', 'Bowling Green'] |
7 |
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9 ['Miami (FL)', 'Florida', 'Appalachian State', 'Florida Atlantic', 'South Florida', 'East Carolina', 'Georgia Southern', 'Marshall', 'Navy'] |
8 |
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8 ['Clemson', 'UAB', 'South Carolina', 'Georgia Tech', 'North Texas', 'East Carolina', 'Marshall', 'Navy'] |
9 |
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8 ['Georgia State', 'Virginia', 'Charlotte', 'Illinois', 'Duke', 'Nebraska', 'Northwestern', 'Buffalo'] |
10 |
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7 ['USC', 'Vanderbilt', 'San Jose State', 'Washington State', 'Colorado State', 'Hawaii', 'Toledo'] |
11 |
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6 ['Northwestern', 'Miami (FL)', 'Appalachian State', 'East Carolina', 'Marshall', 'Navy'] |
12 |
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6 ['Louisville', 'Tulane', 'UCF', 'Boise State', 'UTEP', 'New Mexico State'] |
13 |
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6 ['Georgia State', 'Western Kentucky', 'UConn', 'Charlotte', 'Duke', 'Northwestern'] |
14 |
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6 ['Florida State', 'Toledo', 'Purdue', 'Oregon State', 'UConn', 'Hawaii'] |
15 |
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6 ['Wisconsin', 'Ball State', 'Auburn', 'Eastern Michigan', 'Akron', 'Massachusetts'] |
16 |
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5 ['Rice', 'Texas', 'Georgia Southern', 'Louisiana', 'Ohio'] |
17 |
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5 ['Arkansas State', 'Mississippi State', 'Louisiana Tech', 'North Carolina State', 'South Florida'] |
18 |
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5 ['UConn', 'UCLA', 'Hawaii', 'LSU', 'Central Michigan'] |
19 |
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4 ['Illinois', 'Middle Tennessee', 'Nebraska', 'Buffalo'] |
20 |
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4 ['Tulsa', 'Boise State', 'UTEP', 'New Mexico State'] |
21 |
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4 ['Temple', 'Syracuse', 'Akron', 'Ohio'] |
22 |
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4 ['Kent State', 'Colorado', 'New Mexico', 'New Mexico State'] |
23 |
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4 ['Arizona', 'Utah', 'Arizona State', 'UNLV'] |
24 |
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4 ['Indiana', 'Iowa State', 'Kent State', 'UNLV'] |
25 |
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4 ['Pittsburgh', 'Massachusetts', 'Tennessee', 'Bowling Green'] |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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6.82 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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21.86 |
4 |
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2.99 |
5 |
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18.47 |
6 |
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1.16 |
7 |
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-2.68 |
8 |
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-5.08 |
9 |
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3.32 |
10 |
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14.93 |
11 |
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0.63 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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11.77 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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-3.78 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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4.67 |
18 |
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0.28 |
19 |
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5.91 |
20 |
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0.95 |
21 |
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2.06 |
22 |
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-2.26 |
23 |
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-0.98 |
24 |
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-6.48 |
25 |
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0.13 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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3.53 |
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3.88 |
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2.23 |
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2.44 |
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1.97 |
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0.91 |
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0.87 |
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0.70 |
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0.19 |
Total Score: 133.93