Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 3, 2019, 7:07 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My poll is a hybrid. I take the results of a computer poll of my own creation and split the teams into tiers based on where it makes sense to break the values. I then look at just the teams within the tiers and re-rank within them based on my observations and feelings of the teams.Computer poll has a preseason component and a performance-based component. I phase the preseason component out as the season goes along. For this week, the preseason component is still 85% of the overall calculation.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | 1/1 in Tier Aa: Only team in tier and who I would rank first even if I was doing a human poll. |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1/1 in Tier Ab: Only team in tier |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 1/1 in Tier Ac: Only team in tier |
4 | Auburn Tigers | 1/3 in Tier B: Beat the best opponent (Oregon) of the teams in this tier, so they get to be here for now. |
5 | LSU Tigers | 2/3 in Tier B: Really think LSU may be better than Auburn, but need to see them replicate their offensive performance against a better quality opponent. We'll see what they do against Texas this weekend. |
6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 3/3 in Tier B: A little concerning that they went quiet after a big 1st quarter against FAU. Not sold on this team as a playoff contender. |
7 | Michigan Wolverines | 1/4 in Tier C: Actually think they're better than Ohio St., but they fall in the next tier down. Still appear to have kinks to work out on offense, but I still think they're best team in this group. |
8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2/4 in Tier C: Got off to a slow start against a team that they should have blown off the field puts them behind Michigan. |
9 | Michigan State Spartans | 3/4 in Tier C: Sloppy game against Tulsa. Not sure they have much of an offense. |
10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 4/4 in Tier C: Despite big win, it came against FCS Idaho. Need to see how they do against real competition before they get any higher. Already think they're in too high of a tier. |
11 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1/2 in Tier D: Actually won in Week 1 and still the Big 12 favorite, so they slot ahead of the Ducks. |
12 | Oregon Ducks | 2/2 in Tier D: Blew lead late against Auburn |
13 | Washington Huskies | 1/3 in Tier E: took care of business against EWU. Gonna be fun to see who wins the Pac12 North between them and Oregon. |
14 | UCF Knights | 2/3 in Tier E: Didn't really learn anything from beating up on FCS opponent.  |
15 | Florida Gators | 3/3 in Tier E: Looked very sloppy against Miami. |
16 | USC Trojans | 1/2 in Tier F: Beat a good Mountain West team (Fresno State) |
17 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 2/2 in Tier F: Wouldn't even rank if I did a human poll. Won a barn-burner over one of the worst P5 teams in the country (Oregon St.) |
18 | Texas Longhorns | 1/4 in Tier G: Big game coming up against LSU gives them a great opportunity to move up. |
19 | Utah Utes | 2/4 in Tier G: Stuck it to their in-state rivals (BYU). Pac-12 contender. |
20 | Wisconsin Badgers | 3/4 in Tier G |
21 | TCU Horned Frogs | 4/4 in Tier G |
22 | Texas A&M Aggies | 1/3 in Tier H |
23 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 2/3 in Tier H |
24 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 3/3 in Tier H: Only beating a Sun Belt team (Louisiana-Lafayette) by 10 puts them at the bottom of this tier. |
25 | Washington State Cougars | 1/5 in Tier I: Of the 5 placed in this tier, two lost (MiamiFL & South Carolina), one needed 3OT against an FCS opponent (Iowa St.), and I have no idea why another one is rated so highly by my computer (Marshall). Washington State was left and they beat NMSU handily. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Auburn Tigers | 0.87 |
5 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
7 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
9 | Michigan State Spartans | 2.59 |
10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.31 |
11 | Oklahoma Sooners | -1.01 |
12 | Oregon Ducks | 0.98 |
13 | Washington Huskies | 0.00 |
14 | UCF Knights | 0.28 |
15 | Florida Gators | 0.00 |
16 | USC Trojans | 8.75 |
17 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 3.46 |
18 | Texas Longhorns | -1.21 |
19 | Utah Utes | -0.55 |
20 | Wisconsin Badgers | -0.04 |
21 | TCU Horned Frogs | 3.88 |
22 | Texas A&M Aggies | -1.48 |
23 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.00 |
24 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.23 |
25 | Washington State Cougars | -0.17 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Boise State Broncos | 0.28 |
Syracuse Orange | 0.46 |
Stanford Cardinal | 0.25 |
Total Score: 26.79