Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 24, 2018, 7:34 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Looking at my formula, it is based on Bill Connolly's Five Factors for Offense and Defense as well as using the Colley Matrix formula for Strength of Schedule and regular season record.I'll explain more on Tuesday when I can because I think there might some controversy. It's still early and, as I saw last year, it's a better predictor by the end of the season.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Bama has the 2nd best offense so far. Tua is the truth. |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | Georgia has the 2nd best defense so far this year. |
3 | Penn State Nittany Lions | |
4 | Clemson Tigers | |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | Oklahoma has the #1 offense but their strength of schedule thus far hasn't been the greatest. |
6 | Kentucky Wildcats | Okay, I figured this would be an outlier. The Wildcats have the #5 defense so far and that's what put them up so high. |
7 | Stanford Cardinal | |
8 | Ohio State Buckeyes | |
9 | Duke Blue Devils | Another outlier so far. The Blue Devils are undefeated and have the #10 ranked defense according to my formula. |
10 | UCF Knights | |
11 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | The highest ranked 1 loss team and yes, they are ahead of LSU and Notre Dame who are both undefeated. Strength of schedule so far far has been good, their offense is in the top 25 as is their defense. |
12 | LSU Tigers | |
13 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | |
14 | Miami Hurricanes | |
15 | Florida Gators | |
16 | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Knightro, did you pick the wrong Mountaineers? Nope, App State's offense has been fantastic so far (Thanks, Penn State). And their defense has the benefit of games against Charlotte and Gardner-Webb. They will fall as the season progresses. |
17 | West Virginia Mountaineers | |
18 | Michigan Wolverines | |
19 | Buffalo Bulls | We need some MACtion to start because I don't think Buffalo's defense will hold up. That is what is keeping them up this high as well as being undefeated. |
20 | Virginia Cavaliers | The Wahoos defense is keeping them in a lot of games even though they lost to Indiana. Early season scheduling is keeping them up high. |
21 | Auburn Tigers | |
22 | Washington Huskies | |
23 | Maryland Terrapins | The Terps have a top 25 defense thus far. That loss against Temple may not do them any favors going down the road. |
24 | Houston Cougars | For all this talk about Ed Oliver, Houston's defense has not been very good. Their offense, meanwhile, is ranked 10th in the country on my formula. |
25 | NC State Wolfpack |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.04 |
3 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.16 |
4 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.15 |
6 | Kentucky Wildcats | 1.41 |
7 | Stanford Cardinal | 0.00 |
8 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -0.84 |
9 | Duke Blue Devils | 1.11 |
10 | UCF Knights | 0.39 |
11 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 3.76 |
12 | LSU Tigers | -1.21 |
13 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -0.84 |
14 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.51 |
15 | Florida Gators | 9.99 |
16 | Appalachian State Mountaineers | 8.86 |
17 | West Virginia Mountaineers | -0.87 |
18 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
19 | Buffalo Bulls | 2.57 |
20 | Virginia Cavaliers | 5.20 |
21 | Auburn Tigers | -1.48 |
22 | Washington Huskies | -1.55 |
23 | Maryland Terrapins | 1.63 |
24 | Houston Cougars | 1.20 |
25 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Wisconsin Badgers | 1.49 |
Oregon Ducks | 0.61 |
California Golden Bears | 0.32 |
BYU Cougars | 0.48 |
Texas Longhorns | 0.51 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.17 |
Michigan State Spartans | 0.16 |
Total Score: 48.51