Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 16, 2018, 1:16 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My hybrid poll utilizes two computer polls. A preseason component that I will phase out as the season goes along and a results-oriented poll. The preseason component is 55% this week and the results-oriented poll is 45%.The Preseason component is made up of Past season's results, Returning production, 2 year recruiting Avg., and Coaching continuity. The results-oriented component is made up of Winning %, Points per Game differential, Yards per Play differential, and Strength of Schedule. Once the overall rankings are developed, I split the teams that are close to each other into tiers and re-rank within the tiers.The tier of teams after 25th ranked Syracuse, representing the teams just missing the rankings, were Boise St., Washington St., Texas A&M, TCU, and South Carolina.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1/1 in Tier A: If my computer didn't have them #1, I would've considered it deeply flawed, thrown it out, and done a human poll. |
2 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1/1 in Tier B: Shocked to see PSU this high up. Blowout win over Kent St. and running up the score against Pitt helps MoV though, likely putting them here over a relatively small sample size. |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 1/1 in Tier C |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 1/3 in Tier D: Has looked more dominating in general than the other two teams in the tier. Best win (41-17 over S Carolina) is more impressive than Clemson's (28-26 over TAMU) |
5 | Clemson Tigers | 2/3 in Tier D |
6 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 3/3 in Tier D: My computer has loved Miss. St. Still think they're not at the level of UGA or Clemson though. |
7 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1/1 in Tier E |
8 | Miami Hurricanes | 1/1 in Tier F |
9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1/2 in Tier G |
10 | Michigan Wolverines | 2/2 in Tier G: Loss to ND makes it easy to select Oklahoma over Michigan |
11 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 1/3 in Tier H: Best win in the group (44-21 over Boise St.) |
12 | Stanford Cardinal | 2/3 in Tier H: 2nd best win the group (17-3 over USC) |
13 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 3/3 in Tier H |
14 | Boston College Eagles | 1/1 in Tier I |
15 | Oregon Ducks | 1/1 in Tier J |
16 | Auburn Tigers | 1/4 in Tier K: Best loss in group (21-22 to LSU) other than Washington |
17 | Washington Huskies | 2/4 in Tier K: Head-to-head loss to Auburn puts them behind them in the group. |
18 | Florida Gators | 3/4 in Tier K: 2nd worst loss in the group (16-27 to Kentucky). |
19 | Wisconsin Badgers | 4/4 in Tier K: Worst loss in the group (21-24 to BYU) |
20 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1/2 in Tier L: Best win of the two (40-14 over Tennessee) |
21 | UCF Knights | 2/2 in Tier L |
22 | LSU Tigers | 1/3 in Tier M: 2 great wins over Miami and Auburn put them at the top of this tier. |
23 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 2/3 in Tier M |
24 | Duke Blue Devils | 3/3 in Tier M: Honestly don't believe they should be ranked despite 3-0 record. Northwestern win looks less impressive after they lost to Akron. |
25 | Syracuse Orange | 1/1 in Tier N: Surprising inclusion in the rankings. Believe SOS may be overrating FSU, therefore overrating their win over them. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.55 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
5 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
6 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.15 |
7 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
8 | Miami Hurricanes | 3.29 |
9 | Oklahoma Sooners | -0.43 |
10 | Michigan Wolverines | 2.17 |
11 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
12 | Stanford Cardinal | -0.19 |
13 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 2.05 |
14 | Boston College Eagles | 1.32 |
15 | Oregon Ducks | 0.76 |
16 | Auburn Tigers | 0.00 |
17 | Washington Huskies | 0.00 |
18 | Florida Gators | 7.23 |
19 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.00 |
20 | West Virginia Mountaineers | -0.79 |
21 | UCF Knights | 0.00 |
22 | LSU Tigers | -4.28 |
23 | Virginia Tech Hokies | -1.24 |
24 | Duke Blue Devils | 0.00 |
25 | Syracuse Orange | 0.00 |