Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 12, 2024, 9:27 a.m.

Overall Rationale: computer poll to minimize the error between predicted margin and actual margin on a season-basis. Basically, if an alien had no knowledge about college football before this season, what is the most reasonable set of ratings given game scores so far. Does not take wins and losses into account, looks instead at game margin adjusted for homefield advantage (~1.5-3pts) Note: I'm not happy with the output this week. I don't make a conference adjustment, and I fear given the size of conferences, that's impacting the results. Tweaks are needed in the offseason.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Alabama Crimson Tide
2	Ole Miss Rebels
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4	Texas Longhorns
5	Ohio State Buckeyes
6	South Carolina Gamecocks
7	Indiana Hoosiers
8	Tennessee Volunteers
9	Miami Hurricanes
10	Oregon Ducks
11	Georgia Bulldogs
12	Colorado Buffaloes
13	Penn State Nittany Lions
14	Iowa State Cyclones
15	SMU Mustangs
16	Kansas State Wildcats
17	BYU Cougars
18	USC Trojans
19	Louisville Cardinals
20	Tulane Green Wave
21	Iowa Hawkeyes
22	LSU Tigers
23	Clemson Tigers
24	Texas A&M Aggies
25	Boise State Broncos

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.74
2	Ole Miss Rebels	2.26
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.15
4	Texas Longhorns	0.00
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.70
6	South Carolina Gamecocks	3.71
7	Indiana Hoosiers	-0.60
8	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
9	Miami Hurricanes	0.12
10	Oregon Ducks	-8.10
11	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
12	Colorado Buffaloes	1.83
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	-1.85
14	Iowa State Cyclones	3.22
15	SMU Mustangs	-0.43
16	Kansas State Wildcats	0.73
17	BYU Cougars	-2.32
18	USC Trojans	7.15
19	Louisville Cardinals	0.31
20	Tulane Green Wave	0.62
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	4.13
22	LSU Tigers	0.00
23	Clemson Tigers	-0.76
24	Texas A&M Aggies	-2.03
25	Boise State Broncos	-2.84

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Army West Point	1.40
Washington State Cougars	1.34
Missouri Tigers	0.30

Total Score: 49.65