Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Nov. 11, 2024, 10:12 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | Tier 1. |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Tier 2. Still some issues to work out but this team is improving. |
3 | Texas Longhorns | Tier 2. Returning more to their early season form. |
4 | BYU Cougars | Tier 3. Close call. I'm still not sure how good they are. |
5 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Tier 3. |
6 | Miami Hurricanes | Tier 3. Finally dropped one. Unsure if that was an anomaly or a trend. |
7 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Tier 3. |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | Tier 3. |
9 | Indiana Hoosiers | Tier 3. 10Windiana. Top Tendiana. |
10 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Tier 3. Bludgeoning of LSU shows this is still a playoff caliber team. |
11 | Ole Miss Rebels | Tier 3. Great win over UGA puts them right back in playoff mix. |
12 | Georgia Bulldogs | Tier 3. Tough team to rank. Offense isn't great but defense is. They've beaten #3 and #18 but have lost to #10 and #11. Right at the playoff periphery seems good. |
13 | SMU Mustangs | Tier 4. Their quality loss still holds up but their good wins have all slid a bit. |
14 | Boise State Broncos | Tier 4. |
15 | Washington State Cougars | Tier 4. |
16 | Army West Point | Tier 4. |
17 | Texas A&M Aggies | Tier 4. |
18 | Clemson Tigers | Tier 4. |
19 | Kansas State Wildcats | Tier 4. |
20 | Colorado Buffaloes | Tier 4. Team has surprisingly held up well. Loss to Nebraska still hurts them a lot but they've got some solid wins under their belt now. |
21 | Missouri Tigers | Tier 4. Lots of close wins to decent competition. But the two toughest teams were crushing losses. |
22 | LSU Tigers | Tier 4. Starting to get into the range of moving down to tier 5. 9-3 against a tough schedule *might* be good enough though. |
23 | Iowa State Cyclones | Tier 4. |
24 | Pittsburgh Panthers | Tier 4. |
25 | Arizona State Sun Devils | Tier 4. Tied for 3rd in the wide open Big 12 race. They still have a shot. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
3 | Texas Longhorns | 0.05 |
4 | BYU Cougars | 0.00 |
5 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
6 | Miami Hurricanes | 1.16 |
7 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
9 | Indiana Hoosiers | -1.54 |
10 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
11 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
12 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
13 | SMU Mustangs | 0.00 |
14 | Boise State Broncos | 0.00 |
15 | Washington State Cougars | 0.19 |
16 | Army West Point | 0.00 |
17 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.00 |
18 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
19 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
20 | Colorado Buffaloes | 0.00 |
21 | Missouri Tigers | 0.31 |
22 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
23 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
24 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.00 |
25 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.37 |
Louisville Cardinals | 0.47 |
Tulane Green Wave | 0.15 |
Total Score: 4.24