Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 10, 2024, 10:55 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: No one (?) dropped out. I haven't had this happen so far in two years lol. Basically all the top 25 teams performed relatively within expectations.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	no change
2	Oregon Ducks	no change
3	Texas Longhorns	+5
4	Indiana Hoosiers	-1
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	+4
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	+5
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-3
8	Miami Hurricanes	-2
9	Tennessee Volunteers	-4
10	Georgia Bulldogs	-3
11	Ole Miss Rebels	-1
12	South Carolina Gamecocks	+4
13	Tulane Green Wave	+2
14	Clemson Tigers	no change
15	LSU Tigers	-2
16	SMU Mustangs	+3
17	Boise State Broncos	-5
18	BYU Cougars	no change
19	Kansas State Wildcats	+1
20	Colorado Buffaloes	+6
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	+1
22	Texas A&M Aggies	-2
23	James Madison Dukes	no change
24	Iowa State Cyclones	no change
25	Louisville Cardinals	+1

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.60
2	Oregon Ducks	-0.10
3	Texas Longhorns	0.05
4	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.33
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
8	Miami Hurricanes	0.46
9	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
10	Georgia Bulldogs	0.11
11	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
12	South Carolina Gamecocks	2.04
13	Tulane Green Wave	3.27
14	Clemson Tigers	0.70
15	LSU Tigers	1.99
16	SMU Mustangs	-0.75
17	Boise State Broncos	-0.65
18	BYU Cougars	-2.60
19	Kansas State Wildcats	0.00
20	Colorado Buffaloes	0.00
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	4.13
22	Texas A&M Aggies	-1.31
23	James Madison Dukes	2.15
24	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
25	Louisville Cardinals	-0.14

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Army West Point	1.40
Washington State Cougars	1.34
Missouri Tigers	0.30

Total Score: 24.42