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Pablo49 Ballot for 2023 Week 14

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 26, 2023, 11:14 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Each team starts with some amount of points (P5 1000, G5 900. It's more complicated than this and weighted based on previous year computer poll. For example Tulane, which was highest G5 at start had 605 poll points). When a team wins, it steals some portion of ranking points from the losing team, with some small additional percent steal based on MoV and Home/Away. Points steal starts at 40% base steal + 1% MoV/Away at week 1, and base steal decreases by 1.5% by each week. Steal decays with time to limit huge late season swings (primarily conference championships etc). Season is calculated forward and back (weeks 1,2,3... and week 12,11,10...) and then averaged. This is an attempt to credit a team for a big win week 1 before the poll realized the team they beat was good. Poll isn't aware of "quality" losses at all. So teams like OSU lose the same amount of points this week as if they beat #2 or beat #25. I am actually kind of puzzled how Liberty is so high. My poll obviously favors winning out (never lose any points), but also they haven't played any teams that had many points to steal either. And I am a bit personally torn, I want to reward teams for winning out and I am trying to rank deserving teams, but Liberty had to go and win out against the weakest schedule ever.

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