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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2023 Week 11

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Nov. 6, 2023, 9:40 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 11 notes: Deservedness keeping 2-loss teams such as Oklahoma State and Kansas behind 0-loss teams such as Liberty and 3-loss teams such as LSU and Notre Dame behind 1-loss teams such as Toledo. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 6-2 Notre Dame can be ranked over 7-1 Missouri, but 6-2 Notre Dame cannot be ranked over 7-0 Liberty even if Notre Dame beat Liberty heads up, rankings have Notre Dame over Liberty, and/or I think Notre Dame is better than Liberty)

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes If season were to end right now: Rose Bowl. I have Michigan winning the Big Ten
2 Florida State Seminoles If season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl
3 Washington Huskies If season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl
4 Michigan Wolverines If season were to end right now: Rose Bowl. I have Michigan winning the Big Ten and Georgia being in the playoff with Michigan, FSU, and Washington
5 Oregon Ducks If season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl
6 Georgia Bulldogs If season were to end right now: Orange Bowl
7 Texas Longhorns If season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl
8 Alabama Crimson Tide If season were to end right now: Peach Bowl
9 Penn State Nittany Lions If season were to end right now: Peach Bowl
10 Ole Miss Rebels If season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl
11 Louisville Cardinals If season were to end right now: Orange Bowl
12 James Madison Dukes Not eligible for conference title game so can’t be the highest-ranked G5 champ
13 Tulane Green Wave If season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl
14 Fresno State Bulldogs Very close to hopping over Tulane for the highest-ranked G5 champ spot
15 Air Force Falcons Even though they lost to Army (a rivalry game where there’s usually more variance compared to non-rivalry games), they are still ranked higher than Liberty
16 Liberty Flames As the lowest-ranked 0-loss team, they are keeping all of the 2+ loss teams behind them
17 Oklahoma State Cowboys Would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness factor
18 Missouri Tigers Would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
19 Kansas Jayhawks Would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
20 Oklahoma Sooners Would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
21 Tennessee Volunteers Would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
22 Oregon State Beavers Would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
23 Utah Utes Would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness
24 North Carolina Tar Heels Would be ahead of Fresno State if not for Deservedness
25 SMU Mustangs Would be ahead of Air Force if not for Deservedness. Next 7: Troy, Iowa, Memphis (all would be ahead of Air Force if not for Deservedness), UNLV (would be ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness), Toledo (the last 1-loss team keeping 3+ loss teams such as LSU and Notre Dame behind them), and LSU (would be ahead of James Madison if not for Deservedness)

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