hurricaneatx Ballot for 2023 Week 11
Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Nov. 5, 2023, 9:52 a.m.
Overall Rationale: "Once is a mistake, twice is a coincidence, three times is a pattern." Like most human rankings, this is a blend of both a power ranking (reasoning whether higher ranked teams would beat lower ranked teams a majority of the time on a neutral field) and resume ranking (reasoning whether higher ranked teams have proven themselves against competition). The most recent head-to-head results are important, but lose influence the further removed they are from the present. Results against common competition are a useful gauge, but are often not reliable tools to gauge the gap between teams. I don't put much importance in the specific ranking of a team, so teams of similar strengths can be bit "liquid" and move around the poll a bit. Admittedly, I am quite busy, so I don't watch many individual games. I am a Texas Longhorns fan, which could influence my perception. I think analytics like ESPN's FPI efficiencies and strength of record can be useful aids to identify fringe teams whose records don't jump of the page, but have demonstrated success and deserve a shout in a top 25 poll. [Teams in the ranking suburbs (no particular order): Iowa, North Carolina, USC, Arizona, Toledo] (Teams in the ranking exurbs (no particular order): Kansas State, UCLA, Miami OH, Duke, Kentucky, Wyoming, SMU, Rutgers, UNLV, Memphis, Troy, Miami)
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
(9-0) - Quality wins: @Rutgers |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
(9-0) - Quality wins: Kentucky, Missouri |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
(9-0) - Quality wins: @Notre Dame, Penn State, @Rutgers |
| 4 |
Washington Huskies
|
(9-0) - Quality wins: @Arizona, Oregon, @USC |
| 5 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
(9-0) - Quality wins: LSU, Duke |
| 6 |
Oregon Ducks
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: @Utah |
| 7 |
Texas Longhorns
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: @Alabama, Wyoming, Kansas, Kansas State |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: Ole Miss, Tennessee, LSU |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: @Tulane, LSU |
| 10 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: Iowa |
| 11 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: Notre Dame, Duke |
| 12 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
(7-2) - Quality wins: Utah, UCLA |
| 13 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
(7-2) - Quality wins: Texas |
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
(7-2) - Quality wins: UCLA, @USC |
| 15 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
(7-2) - Quality wins: Kansas State, Kansas, Oklahoma |
| 16 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
(7-2) - Quality wins: @Kentucky |
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
(6-3) - Quality wins: @Missouri |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
(7-2) - Quality wins: Kansas State, Memphis, Kentucky |
| 19 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
(7-3) - Quality wins: @Duke, USC |
| 20 |
James Madison Dukes
|
(9-0) - Quality wins: Troy |
| 21 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
(7-2) - Quality wins: Oklahoma |
| 22 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: @Memphis |
| 23 |
Air Force Falcons
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: Wyoming |
| 24 |
Liberty Flames
|
(9-0) - Quality wins: N/A |
| 25 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
(8-1) - Quality wins: UNLV |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.38 |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
0.07 |
| 13 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.49 |
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.09 |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.16 |
| 20 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
-0.13 |
| 22 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Air Force Falcons
|
0.43 |
| 24 |
Liberty Flames
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
Arizona Wildcats