bwburke94 Ballot for 2023 Week 5
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 24, 2023, 7:57 p.m.
Overall Rationale: The "predictive metric which isn't predictive" returns for another year, one week later than originally planned. Values given are a projected point spread compared to an average FBS team. First 5 out are Maryland, Colorado, Rutgers, Florida State, and North Carolina. Bottom 10 (best to worst) are Northern Illinois, Buffalo, Fresno State, Sam Houston, Nevada, Pittsburgh, Kent State, South Alabama, Oklahoma State, and Arizona State.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
+37.2891634 (Final 2022: #10) |
| 2 |
Texas Longhorns
|
+33.8680186 (Final 2022: #20) |
| 3 |
Utah Utes
|
+27.8689228 (Final 2022: #15) |
| 4 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
+27.8255621 (Final 2022: #29) |
| 5 |
Washington Huskies
|
+26.6810845 (Final 2022: #8) |
| 6 |
Florida Gators
|
+25.3024465 (Final 2022: #44) |
| 7 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
+24.2506616 (Final 2022: #6) |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
+23.8401402 (Final 2022: #4) |
| 9 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
+22.9906234 (Final 2022: #80) |
| 10 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
+22.5389397 (Final 2022: #7) |
| 11 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
+21.484447 (Final 2022: #3) |
| 12 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
+21.2386566 (Final 2022: #93) |
| 13 |
WKU Hilltoppers
|
+20.5762715 (Final 2022: #61) |
| 14 |
Washington State Cougars
|
+20.2660091 (Final 2022: #48) |
| 15 |
Missouri Tigers
|
+19.5482929 (Final 2022: #54) |
| 16 |
UCLA Bruins
|
+19.0012647 (Final 2022: #23) |
| 17 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
+18.8332138 (Final 2022: #75) |
| 18 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
+17.6603546 (Final 2022: #55) |
| 19 |
Wyoming Cowboys
|
+16.5205528 (Final 2022: #82) |
| 20 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
+16.4534726 (Final 2022: #21) |
| 21 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
+16.4093312 (Final 2022: #11) |
| 22 |
James Madison Dukes
|
+16.2424157 (Final 2022: #40) |
| 23 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
+15.2385878 (Final 2022: #2) |
| 24 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
+14.8202917 (Final 2022: #36) |
| 25 |
Oregon Ducks
|
+14.7747859 (Final 2022: #5) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.57 |
| 2 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.01 |
| 3 |
Utah Utes
|
1.32 |
| 4 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
5.33 |
| 5 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Florida Gators
|
7.32 |
| 7 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.82 |
| 9 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.72 |
| 10 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
5.87 |
| 11 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
4.53 |
| 12 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
13.21 |
| 13 |
WKU Hilltoppers
|
12.21 |
| 14 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.42 |
| 16 |
UCLA Bruins
|
7.16 |
| 17 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
3.92 |
| 18 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.61 |
| 19 |
Wyoming Cowboys
|
6.15 |
| 20 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
-0.43 |
| 21 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-4.93 |
| 22 |
James Madison Dukes
|
2.89 |
| 23 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
2.02 |
| 24 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
-1.81 |
| 25 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-5.73 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Georgia Bulldogs
|
3.25 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
4.68 |
USC Trojans
|
2.92 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
2.39 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.11 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
0.47 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
0.67 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.33 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
0.12 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
0.07 |
Total Score: 103.98