Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 1, 2022, 8:10 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Strength of record rankings. These rankings use my predictive power rankings to calculate the probability that an average FBS team would have the given team's record (or better) against their schedule. Those probabilities are shown for each team.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	TCU Horned Frogs	0.05%
2	Tennessee Volunteers	0.16%
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.18%
4	Clemson Tigers	0.22%
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0.25%
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.47%
7	Michigan Wolverines	0.70%
8	Oregon Ducks	1.48%
9	Ole Miss Rebels	1.90%
10	Kansas State Wildcats	2.55%
11	USC Trojans	2.62%
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3.25%
13	UCLA Bruins	4.17%
14	North Carolina Tar Heels	4.48%
15	Tulane Green Wave	4.70%
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	5.96%
17	Illinois Fighting Illini	6.20%
18	LSU Tigers	6.46%
19	NC State Wolfpack	8.43%
20	Utah Utes	9.58%
21	Syracuse Orange	10.34%
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	11.99%
23	Liberty Flames	12.38%
24	Oklahoma Sooners	12.70%
25	Kansas Jayhawks	13.28%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	TCU Horned Frogs	2.25
2	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
4	Clemson Tigers	0.02
5	Georgia Bulldogs	-1.54
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
7	Michigan Wolverines	-1.55
8	Oregon Ducks	0.00
9	Ole Miss Rebels	0.21
10	Kansas State Wildcats	0.40
11	USC Trojans	0.00
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1.81
13	UCLA Bruins	-0.27
14	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.04
15	Tulane Green Wave	0.13
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
17	Illinois Fighting Illini	-0.54
18	LSU Tigers	0.00
19	NC State Wolfpack	0.26
20	Utah Utes	-1.20
21	Syracuse Orange	0.00
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.00
23	Liberty Flames	0.00
24	Oklahoma Sooners	1.20
25	Kansas Jayhawks	0.21

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Oregon State Beavers	0.48
UCF Knights	0.11

Total Score: 12.20