Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 31, 2022, 10:57 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Accelerated ELO Rankings
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Tennessee Volunteers | 30.2, +0.7 from last week, +2 positions from last week, 37.8 (1st) in win/loss aELO, 22.6 (4th) in margin of victory aELO. Another dominant win is enough for Tennessee to take the top spot for the first time this year. |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | 29.8, +0.2, -, 32.4 (4th), 27.2 (1st). The difference between Georgia and Tennessee is negligible. Next week will decide who should be #1. |
3 | TCU Horned Frogs | 27.9, -0.9, +1, 35.5 (2nd), 20.3 (5th). TCU drops slightly vs the field after a somewhat close matchup against West Virginia, but they still gain a position due to the ACC Atlantic collapse. |
4 | Clemson Tigers | 26.4, -7.0, -3, 33.8 (3rd), 18.9 (7th). The ACC Atlantic used to look invulnerable. Then Syracuse got stomped by Notre Dame, NC State almost lost to Virginia Tech, and Boston College got beat by UConn. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a team drop so far on a bye week, but then again, I can’t remember the last time a lauded division collapsed so completely in a single week. |
5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 26.0, +4.6, +5, 27.5 (5th), 24.5 (2nd). The Buckeyes have finally faced someone, Paaaauuuul! Though their margin of victory is generally stellar, their resume still lags behind the top 3 due to strength of schedule. |
6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 24.3, +0.2, -1, 25.2 (7th), 23.3 (3rd). Little change on the bye week for the Tide. |
7 | Michigan Wolverines | 22.9, -1.1, -1, 26.5 (6th), 19.4 (6th). A win against rival Michigan State barely moved the needle. Penn State’s loss at home makes Michigan’s best win look slightly less impressive. |
8 | Oregon Ducks | 19.6, +0.7, +5, 22.6 (8th), 16.5 (11th). Oregon hardly moved vs the field, but the fall of Oklahoma State and the ACC Atlantic sees them climb into the top 10 for the first time this year. |
9 | Kansas State Wildcats | 19.4, +3.2, +6, 20.1 (9th), 18.6 (8th). Where did that come from? The Wildcats made Oklahoma State look like a generic FCS school, and that vaults them into the top 10 for the first time this year. |
10 | LSU Tigers | 18.9, -0.7, +1, 18.3 (11th), 18.4 (9th). Little change on the bye week for the Tigers. |
11 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 17.1, -5.2, -2, 18.6 (13th), 15.5 (12th). After being thoroughly embarrassed, the Cowboys drop precipitously vs the field but only drop 2 spots, thanks in part to the ACC Atlantic collapse. |
12 | UCLA Bruins | 15.9, +1.8, +8, 19.4 (10th), 12.3 (18th). The Bruins’ rise is more due to other teams falling than their win against Stanford this week. |
13 | USC Trojans | 15.2, -0.6, +3, 16.0 (16th), 14.4 (14th). The Trojans climb after an underwhelming win due to others falling. |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | 15.2, -0.3, +3, 19.2 (12th), 11.1 (23rd). It wasn’t the close win against Texas A&M boosting Ole Miss, it was other teams falling. |
15 | Tulane Green Wave | 14.5, +0.9, +6, 17.3 (14th), 11.6 (21st). Tulane keeps winning, others keep losing, and their win over Kansas State keeps looking better and better. |
16 | Texas Longhorns | 14.3, -1.1, +2, 11.9 (23rd), 16.6 (10th). The Longhorns are worse vs the field after Oklahoma State’s embarrassment, but the ACC Atlantic collapse still allows Texas to move up a couple spots on the bye week. |
17 | Florida State Seminoles | 14.2, -3.7, -3, 13.0 (22nd), 15.3 (13th). After a dominant win against Georgia Tech, Florida State drops a few spots. That’s because the computer has reevaluated the relative strength of the ACC Atlantic after less-than-stellar results from Syracuse, NC State, and Boston College. |
18 | Utah Utes | 13.8, +0.9, +4, 13.6 (20th), 13.9 (15th). The Utes move up due to Penn State’s loss and the ACC Atlantic collapse. |
19 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 13.7, -10.1, -12, 14.3 (19th), 13.0 (17th). Wake Forest was dominated by Louisville in the third quarter from hell. Add to that the calamitous results from Syracuse, NC State, and Boston College, and Wake Forest falls more than 10 spots and more than 10 points vs the field. |
20 | Syracuse Orange | 13.5, -9.0, -12, 15.4 (17th), 11.5 (22nd). Notre Dame beat Syracuse convincingly this week. Other terrible results for the ACC Atlantic see the Orange drop 12 places. |
21 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 13.3, -1.4, -2, 14.9 (18th), 11.7 (20th). Yes, Penn State lost, but it was to Ohio State, so they only drop a few spots. |
22 | NC State Wolfpack | 13.0, -6.3, -10, 16.5 (15th), 9.6 (27th). A 1-point home win certainly feels like a loss, and the computer agrees. Add to that bad losses from Syracuse and Boston College, and NC State falls 10 spots with a win. |
23 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 12.4, +0.1, +1, 11.1 (26th), 13.6 (16th). Little change on the bye week for the Bulldogs. |
24 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 12.2, NR, 13.2 (21st), 11.1 (25th). A solid win against Pitt is enough for the Tar Heels to enter the rankings for the first time this year. In an incredibly congested section of the rankings, they are only 2.3 points behind 15th place Tulane. |
25 | Oklahoma Sooners | 11.0, NR, 11.2 (1st), 10.8 (26th). Oklahoma’s recovery over the past few weeks is just enough to earn a ranking for the first time since Week 4. No honorable mentions this week. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.29 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
3 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.98 |
4 | Clemson Tigers | 0.02 |
5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1.20 |
6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
7 | Michigan Wolverines | -1.55 |
8 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
9 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.77 |
10 | LSU Tigers | 1.18 |
11 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 2.16 |
12 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
13 | USC Trojans | -0.35 |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | -0.06 |
15 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.13 |
16 | Texas Longhorns | 3.16 |
17 | Florida State Seminoles | 7.93 |
18 | Utah Utes | -0.56 |
19 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.00 |
20 | Syracuse Orange | 0.00 |
21 | Penn State Nittany Lions | -0.66 |
22 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.00 |
23 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.93 |
24 | North Carolina Tar Heels | -1.49 |
25 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.20 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Illinois Fighting Illini | 3.68 |
Oregon State Beavers | 0.48 |
Liberty Flames | 0.09 |
UCF Knights | 0.11 |
Total Score: 28.98