Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 31, 2022, 10:57 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Accelerated ELO Rankings
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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30.2, +0.7 from last week, +2 positions from last week, 37.8 (1st) in win/loss aELO, 22.6 (4th) in margin of victory aELO. Another dominant win is enough for Tennessee to take the top spot for the first time this year. |
2 |
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29.8, +0.2, -, 32.4 (4th), 27.2 (1st). The difference between Georgia and Tennessee is negligible. Next week will decide who should be #1. |
3 |
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27.9, -0.9, +1, 35.5 (2nd), 20.3 (5th). TCU drops slightly vs the field after a somewhat close matchup against West Virginia, but they still gain a position due to the ACC Atlantic collapse. |
4 |
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26.4, -7.0, -3, 33.8 (3rd), 18.9 (7th). The ACC Atlantic used to look invulnerable. Then Syracuse got stomped by Notre Dame, NC State almost lost to Virginia Tech, and Boston College got beat by UConn. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a team drop so far on a bye week, but then again, I can’t remember the last time a lauded division collapsed so completely in a single week. |
5 |
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26.0, +4.6, +5, 27.5 (5th), 24.5 (2nd). The Buckeyes have finally faced someone, Paaaauuuul! Though their margin of victory is generally stellar, their resume still lags behind the top 3 due to strength of schedule. |
6 |
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24.3, +0.2, -1, 25.2 (7th), 23.3 (3rd). Little change on the bye week for the Tide. |
7 |
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22.9, -1.1, -1, 26.5 (6th), 19.4 (6th). A win against rival Michigan State barely moved the needle. Penn State’s loss at home makes Michigan’s best win look slightly less impressive. |
8 |
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19.6, +0.7, +5, 22.6 (8th), 16.5 (11th). Oregon hardly moved vs the field, but the fall of Oklahoma State and the ACC Atlantic sees them climb into the top 10 for the first time this year. |
9 |
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19.4, +3.2, +6, 20.1 (9th), 18.6 (8th). Where did that come from? The Wildcats made Oklahoma State look like a generic FCS school, and that vaults them into the top 10 for the first time this year. |
10 |
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18.9, -0.7, +1, 18.3 (11th), 18.4 (9th). Little change on the bye week for the Tigers. |
11 |
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17.1, -5.2, -2, 18.6 (13th), 15.5 (12th). After being thoroughly embarrassed, the Cowboys drop precipitously vs the field but only drop 2 spots, thanks in part to the ACC Atlantic collapse. |
12 |
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15.9, +1.8, +8, 19.4 (10th), 12.3 (18th). The Bruins’ rise is more due to other teams falling than their win against Stanford this week. |
13 |
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15.2, -0.6, +3, 16.0 (16th), 14.4 (14th). The Trojans climb after an underwhelming win due to others falling. |
14 |
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15.2, -0.3, +3, 19.2 (12th), 11.1 (23rd). It wasn’t the close win against Texas A&M boosting Ole Miss, it was other teams falling. |
15 |
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14.5, +0.9, +6, 17.3 (14th), 11.6 (21st). Tulane keeps winning, others keep losing, and their win over Kansas State keeps looking better and better. |
16 |
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14.3, -1.1, +2, 11.9 (23rd), 16.6 (10th). The Longhorns are worse vs the field after Oklahoma State’s embarrassment, but the ACC Atlantic collapse still allows Texas to move up a couple spots on the bye week. |
17 |
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14.2, -3.7, -3, 13.0 (22nd), 15.3 (13th). After a dominant win against Georgia Tech, Florida State drops a few spots. That’s because the computer has reevaluated the relative strength of the ACC Atlantic after less-than-stellar results from Syracuse, NC State, and Boston College. |
18 |
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13.8, +0.9, +4, 13.6 (20th), 13.9 (15th). The Utes move up due to Penn State’s loss and the ACC Atlantic collapse. |
19 |
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13.7, -10.1, -12, 14.3 (19th), 13.0 (17th). Wake Forest was dominated by Louisville in the third quarter from hell. Add to that the calamitous results from Syracuse, NC State, and Boston College, and Wake Forest falls more than 10 spots and more than 10 points vs the field. |
20 |
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13.5, -9.0, -12, 15.4 (17th), 11.5 (22nd). Notre Dame beat Syracuse convincingly this week. Other terrible results for the ACC Atlantic see the Orange drop 12 places. |
21 |
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13.3, -1.4, -2, 14.9 (18th), 11.7 (20th). Yes, Penn State lost, but it was to Ohio State, so they only drop a few spots. |
22 |
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13.0, -6.3, -10, 16.5 (15th), 9.6 (27th). A 1-point home win certainly feels like a loss, and the computer agrees. Add to that bad losses from Syracuse and Boston College, and NC State falls 10 spots with a win. |
23 |
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12.4, +0.1, +1, 11.1 (26th), 13.6 (16th). Little change on the bye week for the Bulldogs. |
24 |
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12.2, NR, 13.2 (21st), 11.1 (25th). A solid win against Pitt is enough for the Tar Heels to enter the rankings for the first time this year. In an incredibly congested section of the rankings, they are only 2.3 points behind 15th place Tulane. |
25 |
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11.0, NR, 11.2 (1st), 10.8 (26th). Oklahoma’s recovery over the past few weeks is just enough to earn a ranking for the first time since Week 4. No honorable mentions this week. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
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1 |
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0.29 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.98 |
4 |
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0.02 |
5 |
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-1.20 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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-1.55 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.77 |
10 |
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1.18 |
11 |
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2.16 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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-0.35 |
14 |
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-0.06 |
15 |
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0.13 |
16 |
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3.16 |
17 |
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7.93 |
18 |
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-0.56 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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-0.66 |
22 |
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0.00 |
23 |
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1.93 |
24 |
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-1.49 |
25 |
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0.20 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
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3.68 |
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0.48 |
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0.09 |
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0.11 |
Total Score: 28.98