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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2022 Week 10

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 30, 2022, 1:56 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 10 notes: Deservedness keeps teams such as Texas out when I would have them over some of the teams in this poll. General: 1st layer, computer portion: SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer, human portion: home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer, human portion: wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer, computer portion: Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 5-3 Texas can be ranked over 6-2 Syracuse, but Texas cannot be ranked over 7-1 Coastal Carolina even if rankings have Texas over Coastal Carolina and/or I think Texas is better than Coastal Carolina).

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes Even though Michigan has a better comparative win against Penn State, one game isn’t enough to knock them off #1
2 Tennessee Volunteers Distance between them and #1 shrank
3 Georgia Bulldogs Score was closer than game actually was
4 Alabama Crimson Tide Bye did nothing to drop them
5 Michigan Wolverines Big rivalry games don’t depend on margin of victory
6 Clemson Tigers Bye did nothing to drop them
7 TCU Horned Frogs Computer portion has them lower
8 Oregon Ducks Four PAC teams are very close together
9 UCLA Bruins Four PAC teams are very close together
10 Utah Utes Four PAC teams are very close together
11 USC Trojans Four PAC teams are very close together, but USC has had easiest of schedules so far
12 Penn State Nittany Lions Game was much closer than final score. If anything, the loss to Michigan was worse than to Ohio State
13 Kansas State Wildcats The blowout over Oklahoma State might be a fluke, but beating a ranked opponent with a backup quarterback is impressive and their only two losses are to other teams also ranked
14 LSU Tigers Not sure what kind of result in the Alabama game could drop LSU
15 Ole Miss Rebels They might not even move even if they lose to Alabama after the bye week
16 Illinois Fighting Illini Barring a loss to Michigan State, Illinois might not be tested until Purdue or Michigan
17 Oregon State Beavers Computer portion has them lower, but they’re only did was against Utah
18 Oklahoma State Cowboys Computer portion has them higher. 48-0 loss never looks good, but I’m willing to say this was a very big outlier. If they look like crap, they might continue to drop
19 Syracuse Orange Losing to Notre Dame isn’t as bad as many people think. They’re next three games will truly show who they are
20 Wake Forest Demon Deacons Louisville is an up and down team, but this could be another situation where a portion of this was a flukey conference situation
21 North Carolina Tar Heels Computer portion has them lower than this. They might be fraudulent, but for now they pass.
22 Tulane Green Wave They would be lower if not for Deservedness
23 NC State Wolfpack They would be lower if not for Deservedness
24 Maryland Terrapins They would be lower if not for Deservedness
25 UCF Knights They would be lower if not for Deservedness. Next five would be some combination of Cincinnati, Troy, South Alabama, Washington, and Boise State/UTSA

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