Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Sept. 20, 2021, 12:33 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Based off of the algorithm I developed last year given the very strange season. Full rankings at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FoA3qrDX7UUKU7jFy_F_q-ESiPxHm9sdbvBvV5k6HoM/edit?usp=sharing. Methodology here: https://old.reddit.com/r/CFBAnalysis/comments/jfp3uk/2020_full_11000_rankings/. As with last week, I did not take a strict algorithmic ranking here, but do show their rating in the reason for each team. In particular, the relative ratings of conferences seems like it might be fairly predictive, but is out of sync with standard rankings, so in particular the Big Ten and SEC are sandbagged a bit compared to what the algorithm would suggest. Relative rating within conferences is generally preserved, advantage given to undefeated teams.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	86.32
2	Georgia Bulldogs	85.01
3	Iowa Hawkeyes	84.87
4	Oklahoma Sooners	79.41
5	Oregon Ducks	77.33
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	81.66
7	Texas A&M Aggies	81.73
8	Ole Miss Rebels	81.59
9	Cincinnati Bearcats	76.75
10	Florida Gators	81.45
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	82.86
12	Clemson Tigers	78.31
13	BYU Cougars	79.51
14	Michigan Wolverines	81.41
15	Arkansas Razorbacks	79.09
16	Michigan State Spartans	80.05
17	Wisconsin Badgers	79.73
18	North Carolina Tar Heels	79.48
19	LSU Tigers	78.96
20	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	78.53
21	Iowa State Cyclones	77.92
22	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	77.45
23	Kansas State Wildcats	77.02
24	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	75.65
25	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	70.67

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
3	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.10
4	Oklahoma Sooners	0.13
5	Oregon Ducks	0.00
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
7	Texas A&M Aggies	0.00
8	Ole Miss Rebels	0.33
9	Cincinnati Bearcats	0.00
10	Florida Gators	0.00
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
12	Clemson Tigers	0.00
13	BYU Cougars	0.00
14	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
15	Arkansas Razorbacks	0.00
16	Michigan State Spartans	0.00
17	Wisconsin Badgers	0.00
18	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.63
19	LSU Tigers	6.06
20	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.52
21	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
22	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	1.38
23	Kansas State Wildcats	0.00
24	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.55
25	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	-0.64

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Fresno State Bulldogs	0.44
Auburn Tigers	0.19

Total Score: 10.97