Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 25, 2021, 11:21 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I look at an average of computer polls as a baseline and adjust based on how much information we have about the team (coach, players, performance, injuries, style, all of it.) My process yields the best results compared to computer polls mid-season, when the differences between information quantity for teams is the greatest, and will yield the best results overall by the end of the season.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Despite new QB, we know what Saban is capable of, and despite some reservations I have due to their returning production, he deserves the benefit of the doubt until proven otherwise. |
2 | Oklahoma Sooners | I know more about Rattler than I do about DJ, so OU gets the nod. |
3 | Clemson Tigers | |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Lot of focus on QB battle, but my biggest concern is defensive production in the back 7. They could easily be ranked #1 or #2 in two weeks depending on how they handle Minnesota and Oregon. |
5 | Texas A&M Aggies | Impressed by the defensive personnel |
6 | Georgia Bulldogs | |
7 | Wisconsin Badgers | I know I'm pretty bullish on Wisconsin, but I think all the pieces are there for a great bounce back year for them. |
8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | |
9 | Iowa State Cyclones | |
10 | Cincinnati Bearcats | |
11 | Oregon Ducks | |
12 | Florida Gators | |
13 | Iowa Hawkeyes | |
14 | North Carolina Tar Heels | |
15 | Penn State Nittany Lions | |
16 | Texas Longhorns | |
17 | San José State Spartans | |
18 | USC Trojans | |
19 | Washington Huskies | |
20 | Miami Hurricanes | I am personally bearish on Miami, but the margin of uncertainty here cannot be under-stated. I have no problem moving them up 5+ spots depending on how they play against Alabama even if it's a loss (and much more than that if it's a win.) |
21 | Arizona State Sun Devils | |
22 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | This is my "hot take" for the preseason, so I'm including it in my preseason ranking, since preseason rankings don't matter anyway: Schiano has this program humming, and *if they continue on their trajectory* they can go to-to-toe with Michigan, Indiana, and Michigan State in the B1G East. Or maybe 2020 was a big fluke. We'll known soon enough. |
23 | Ole Miss Rebels | |
24 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | |
25 | Michigan Wolverines | Plenty of people talking about Harbaugh on the hot seat, but their floor is 8-4 in my opinion, which might not be good enough for Michigan, but is good enough to be a top 25 team. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
3 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
5 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.10 |
6 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
7 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.98 |
8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
9 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
10 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.00 |
11 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
12 | Florida Gators | 0.00 |
13 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.60 |
14 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.00 |
15 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.10 |
16 | Texas Longhorns | 0.45 |
17 | San José State Spartans | 7.87 |
18 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
19 | Washington Huskies | 0.00 |
20 | Miami Hurricanes | -0.11 |
21 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.72 |
22 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 3.20 |
23 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
24 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
25 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Indiana Hoosiers | 1.25 |
LSU Tigers | 0.68 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 0.35 |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 0.27 |
Utah Utes | 0.24 |
Total Score: 16.92