Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 25, 2019, 6:31 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My poll is a hybrid. I take the results of a computer poll of my own creation and split the teams into tiers based on where it makes sense to break the values. I then look at just the teams within the tiers and re-rank within them based on my observations and feelings of the teams.Computer poll has a preseason component and a performance-based component. I phase the preseason component out as the season goes along. For this week, the preseason component is down to 2.5% of the overall calculation.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
1/1 in Tier A |
| 2 |
Clemson Tigers
|
1/1 in Tier Ba |
| 3 |
LSU Tigers
|
1/1 in Tier Bb |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
1/1 in Tier Bc |
| 5 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1/1 in Tier Bd |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
1/1 in Tier Be |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
1/4 in Tier C: Only team in tier with 1 loss. Best looking team of group on Offense and Defense |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
2/4 in Tier C: Better losses than Wisconsin (Ohio State and Minnesota) |
| 9 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
3/4 in Tier C: Loss to Illinois keeps them below Penn State |
| 10 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
4/4 in Tier C: Easy to slot here given head to head losses to Penn State and Wisconsin |
| 11 |
Baylor Bears
|
1/2 in Tier D: Only one loss and it was a close one to Oklahoma |
| 12 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
2/2 in Tier D: Blowout loss to Michigan ends up being the difference here |
| 13 |
Memphis Tigers
|
1/2 in Tier E: Only 1 loss and a better best win (Navy) than Oregon (USC) |
| 14 |
Oregon Ducks
|
2/2 in Tier E: Loss to Auburn proves to be the difference as the Arizona State loss is comparable in quality to Memphis' only loss to Temple. |
| 15 |
Florida Gators
|
1/2 in Tier F: Better record than Auburn and owns a head to head victory |
| 16 |
Auburn Tigers
|
2/2 in Tier F |
| 17 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
1/3 in Tier G: Iowa did beat Minnesota head to head, but it was only by 4 points and in Iowa. Against common opponents (Purdue, Illinois, Northwestern, Penn State, Rutgers), Minnesota is 5-0, while Iowa is 4-1. Additionally, they have outscored those teams by an average of 17.2 points, while Iowa has only outscored them by an average of 12.0 points. |
| 18 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
2/3 in Tier G: If they had played Ohio State closer, I may have them ahead of Minnesota. As it is, it's hard to overlook the 42-0 loss, despite the quality of Ohio State. |
| 19 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
3/3 in Tier G: Behind Minnesota for the reasons stated above. Behind both Minnesota and Cincinnati due to the fact that it's hard to overlook the 3 losses (compared to only 1 for the other two), regardless of the quality of the teams they lost to. |
| 20 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
1/1 in Tier H |
| 21 |
Boise State Broncos
|
1/6 in Tier I: Better loss than App State's (BYU compared with Georgia Southern) |
| 22 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
2/6 in Tier I: Head to Head win over Louisiana-Lafayette |
| 23 |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
|
3/6 in Tier I: Only losses are to App State and Miss St. Puts them ahead of the other teams despite the lesser pedigree. |
| 24 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
4/6 in Tier I: Only 7-4, but every team to beat them is of high caliber |
| 25 |
UCF Knights
|
5/6 in Tier I: Get the edge over USC for the final spot. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.18 |
| 3 |
LSU Tigers
|
-0.72 |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.21 |
| 5 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.16 |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.07 |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.43 |
| 9 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.80 |
| 10 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Baylor Bears
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.32 |
| 13 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.42 |
| 14 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Florida Gators
|
-0.71 |
| 16 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
-1.56 |
| 18 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
1.14 |
| 21 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
|
1.94 |
| 24 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.17 |
| 25 |
UCF Knights
|
0.13 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.98 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
0.34 |
USC Trojans
|
0.01 |
Total Score: 10.30