Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 25, 2019, 6:31 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My poll is a hybrid. I take the results of a computer poll of my own creation and split the teams into tiers based on where it makes sense to break the values. I then look at just the teams within the tiers and re-rank within them based on my observations and feelings of the teams.Computer poll has a preseason component and a performance-based component. I phase the preseason component out as the season goes along. For this week, the preseason component is down to 2.5% of the overall calculation.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 1/1 in Tier A |
2 | Clemson Tigers | 1/1 in Tier Ba |
3 | LSU Tigers | 1/1 in Tier Bb |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1/1 in Tier Bc |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1/1 in Tier Bd |
6 | Georgia Bulldogs | 1/1 in Tier Be |
7 | Utah Utes | 1/4 in Tier C: Only team in tier with 1 loss. Best looking team of group on Offense and Defense |
8 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 2/4 in Tier C: Better losses than Wisconsin (Ohio State and Minnesota) |
9 | Wisconsin Badgers | 3/4 in Tier C: Loss to Illinois keeps them below Penn State |
10 | Michigan Wolverines | 4/4 in Tier C: Easy to slot here given head to head losses to Penn State and Wisconsin |
11 | Baylor Bears | 1/2 in Tier D: Only one loss and it was a close one to Oklahoma |
12 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2/2 in Tier D: Blowout loss to Michigan ends up being the difference here |
13 | Memphis Tigers | 1/2 in Tier E: Only 1 loss and a better best win (Navy) than Oregon (USC) |
14 | Oregon Ducks | 2/2 in Tier E: Loss to Auburn proves to be the difference as the Arizona State loss is comparable in quality to Memphis' only loss to Temple. |
15 | Florida Gators | 1/2 in Tier F: Better record than Auburn and owns a head to head victory |
16 | Auburn Tigers | 2/2 in Tier F |
17 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 1/3 in Tier G: Iowa did beat Minnesota head to head, but it was only by 4 points and in Iowa. Against common opponents (Purdue, Illinois, Northwestern, Penn State, Rutgers), Minnesota is 5-0, while Iowa is 4-1. Additionally, they have outscored those teams by an average of 17.2 points, while Iowa has only outscored them by an average of 12.0 points. |
18 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 2/3 in Tier G: If they had played Ohio State closer, I may have them ahead of Minnesota. As it is, it's hard to overlook the 42-0 loss, despite the quality of Ohio State. |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 3/3 in Tier G: Behind Minnesota for the reasons stated above. Behind both Minnesota and Cincinnati due to the fact that it's hard to overlook the 3 losses (compared to only 1 for the other two), regardless of the quality of the teams they lost to. |
20 | Navy Midshipmen | 1/1 in Tier H |
21 | Boise State Broncos | 1/6 in Tier I: Better loss than App State's (BYU compared with Georgia Southern) |
22 | Appalachian State Mountaineers | 2/6 in Tier I: Head to Head win over Louisiana-Lafayette |
23 | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 3/6 in Tier I: Only losses are to App State and Miss St. Puts them ahead of the other teams despite the lesser pedigree. |
24 | Iowa State Cyclones | 4/6 in Tier I: Only 7-4, but every team to beat them is of high caliber |
25 | UCF Knights | 5/6 in Tier I: Get the edge over USC for the final spot. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
2 | Clemson Tigers | 0.18 |
3 | LSU Tigers | -0.72 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.21 |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.16 |
6 | Georgia Bulldogs | -0.07 |
7 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
8 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.43 |
9 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.80 |
10 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
11 | Baylor Bears | 0.00 |
12 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.32 |
13 | Memphis Tigers | 0.42 |
14 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
15 | Florida Gators | -0.71 |
16 | Auburn Tigers | 0.00 |
17 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | -1.56 |
18 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.00 |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.00 |
20 | Navy Midshipmen | 1.14 |
21 | Boise State Broncos | 0.00 |
22 | Appalachian State Mountaineers | 0.00 |
23 | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 1.94 |
24 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.17 |
25 | UCF Knights | 0.13 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.98 |
Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.34 |
USC Trojans | 0.01 |
Total Score: 10.30