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hokies220 Ballot for 2019 Week 14

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Nov. 24, 2019, 11:28 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Since I don't count FCS games and the SEC likes to save their cupcakes until the end of the year a lot of them were passed in my computer poll this week. There are 8 teams remaining for the CFP IMO, these are teams that can be P5 conference champs with 0-1 losses so fuck off Alabama. As always I'll never include multiple teams from the same conference in my top four as those will be decided during the season.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes (Computer #1: Ohio State) Ohio State has been number one in my computer virtually all year, they're as far ahead of #2 as #2 is ahead of #15.
2 LSU Tigers (Computer #2: Penn State) LSU didn't gain much this week as they beat Arkansas, but still the #2 based on their schedule.
3 Clemson Tigers (Computer #3: Notre Dame) And what seems to be the consensus is Clemson is #3 which I agree with. By eye test and dominance I'd maybe put them #2, but the SoS isn't there for that.
4 Oklahoma Sooners (Computer #4: LSU) So there's probably going to be a big debate between Utah and OU/Baylor. Utah and Baylor were actually tied in points, but I would give the edge to Baylor for better wins and better loss. OU is only .5 points behind the two, and obviously has the win over Baylor so here they are. I think Utah is the better team, but resume is better for OU.
5 Georgia Bulldogs (Computer #5: Clemson) Georgia has to be ranked highly because of the wins over ND, Florida, and Auburn. However, they've got an awful awful loss and just don't look very good. Still gotta give them the nod over Baylor and Utah though.
6 Baylor Bears (Computer #6: Michigan) Edge over Utah for better wins and a better loss. 
7 Utah Utes (Computer #7: Georgia) If I were going purely based on how good I thought teams were I'd put Utah at #4. Trying to still weigh resumes heavily though so they're behind OU, UGA, and Baylor. For now.
8 Minnesota Golden Gophers (Computer #8: Wisconsin) Keeping Minnesota high since they control their own destiny, though they have the hardest road to the CFP. Rivalry game, for the division, on Gameday. Is it Saturday yet?
9 Alabama Crimson Tide (Computer #9: Iowa) Bama has no good wins. Period. They lost to the only good team they played. They don't have their star QB. They do not deserve to be ahead of any of the teams I have ranked ahead, and really I would place them lower than this based on which teams I think could beat them. But still 10-1 is 10-1 and they might not have good wins, but they didn't lose to Illinois.
10 Wisconsin Badgers (Computer #10: tie Baylor/Utah) Wisconsin maybe has an outside shot if chaos happens and they blow out Minnesota and OSU. lol not happening, but could still make the Rose Bowl.
11 Penn State Nittany Lions (Computer #10: tie Baylor/Utah) I think PSU is still a top ten team, and could maybe put them ahead of Wisconsin without an argument, but since Wisconsin still has the slimmest of chances I've got them ahead. 
12 Michigan Wolverines (Computer #12: OU) Is this the year they finally knock off OSU? Because that's the most important thing, otherwise this is just another solid season.
13 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Computer #13: Oregon) Completely blew the doors off BC to nobody's surprise. They'll have a win over the Coastal winner, and potentially the Pac-12 south winner. They've got a solid resume.
14 Oregon Ducks (Computer #14: USC) What a let down, but who didn't see it coming? Wouldn't surprise me at all if Colorado and Oregon State both win to become bowl eligible next week and USC manages to make the Rose Bowl because the Pac-12 can't have nice things. 
15 Florida Gators (Computer #15: Auburn) Could make an argument for Florida above Oregon based on the common opponent in Auburn. However, I think Oregon's win over USC is better than any win Florida has. Florida has better losses by far, but losses are losses still. Coin flip em if you want, but UF does have two FCS wins and Miami just lost to FIU.
16 Memphis Tigers (Computer #16: Alabama) Memphis continues to remain really low in my computer, tied at #26 with Air Force, but they're the NY6 favorite and I think they're great. 
17 Iowa Hawkeyes (Computer #17: Florida) The best three loss team by far IMO. Could hang with anyone.
18 Boise State Broncos (Computer #18: Cincinnati) Boise State clinched the division in dominant fashion, which is why I have them ahead of Cincy. Plus they've got a better win in my computer in Air Force who was tied at #26
19 Cincinnati Bearcats (Computer #19: Minnesota) Close wins are still wins I guess, but they've got a tough game against Memphis coming up. If they win they'll likely host Navy, if they lose they'll play Memphis again.
20 USC Trojans (Computer #20: Boise State) Dominant rivalry win against a UCLA team that Utah seems to have broken. 8-4 with a win over Utah and still a shot at the conference and Rose Bowl is peak Pac-12.
21 Auburn Tigers (Computer #21: Texas) Auburn had largely been propped up on their Oregon win, so they drop a bit. Also, lol at my computer for having Texas still ranked.
22 Appalachian State Mountaineers (Computer #22: Iowa State) App State in a rematch with ULL for the Sunbelt title. ULL was actually in my top #30 so it's a chance for another good win.
23 Navy Midshipmen (Computer #23: App State) Navy got beat the fuck down by ND, but turned around and beat SMU. Also have a good win over AF. If they beat Houston and Cincy beats Memphis they're in the AACCG.
24 Oklahoma State Cowboys (Computer #24: SMU) Unranked SMU since Navy has the same record and the H2H. OK State has quietly kept things going, and has a decent shot at Bedlam with how OU has looked.
25 Iowa State Cyclones (Computer #25: tie OK State/Wake Forest) All four ranked losses by a handful of points. Ahh what could've been for the Cyclones this year.

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