Fmeson Ballot for 2019 Week 14
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 25, 2019, 3:51 p.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a predictive poll, not a resume poll. So far on the year, it has an absolute error of 12.75 points and has predicted the winner of 77.4% of FBS games (at least one team is FBS) correctly. 12.75 and 75.0% when both teams are FBS.  rank|team|rating|uncertainty:--|:--|:--|:--1|Ohio St |65.0|3.52|Clemson |60.8|3.53|Alabama |57.9|3.54|LSU |53.0|3.55|Penn St |52.9|3.56|Georgia |51.9|3.57|Wisconsin |50.6|3.58|Oklahoma |50.4|3.59|Auburn |49.3|3.510|Michigan |48.9|3.511|Florida |48.7|3.512|Utah |48.6|3.513|Oregon |48.2|3.514|Notre Dame |47.5|3.515|Iowa |43.1|3.516|Iowa St |41.9|3.517|Washington |41.8|3.518|Texas A&M |41.7|3.519|UCF |41.6|3.520|Minnesota |40.6|3.521|Baylor |39.6|3.522|Oklahoma St |39.6|3.523|N Dakota St |39.4|3.424|Memphis |39.0|3.525|Texas |39.0|3.5
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
|
| 2 |
Clemson Tigers
|
|
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
|
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
|
| 5 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
|
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 7 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
|
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
|
| 9 |
Auburn Tigers
|
|
| 10 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
|
| 11 |
Florida Gators
|
|
| 12 |
Utah Utes
|
|
| 13 |
Oregon Ducks
|
|
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 15 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
|
| 16 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
|
| 17 |
Washington Huskies
|
|
| 18 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
|
| 19 |
UCF Knights
|
|
| 20 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
|
| 21 |
Baylor Bears
|
|
| 22 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
|
| 23 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
|
| 24 |
Memphis Tigers
|
|
| 25 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.18 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.70 |
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
-1.72 |
| 5 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
1.63 |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.07 |
| 7 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
1.59 |
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Auburn Tigers
|
1.81 |
| 10 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Utah Utes
|
-2.35 |
| 13 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.98 |
| 16 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
6.48 |
| 17 |
Washington Huskies
|
8.15 |
| 18 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
6.70 |
| 19 |
UCF Knights
|
6.13 |
| 20 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
-2.47 |
| 21 |
Baylor Bears
|
-2.86 |
| 22 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
1.65 |
| 24 |
Memphis Tigers
|
-1.94 |
| 25 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.21 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
1.72 |
Boise State Broncos
|
1.57 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
0.83 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
0.42 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
0.34 |
USC Trojans
|
0.01 |
Total Score: 52.51