Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 22, 2019, 7:32 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Probabilistic model that uses Bayesian inference on a team's results to assign a probability of a team's rating given all their results to date. No information outside of the current season is used. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. No games against FCS opponents are counted. It is seeded from 0 each week and then iterated until ratings stabilize, so past weeks' results are reevaluated from the perspective of the current week. Numerical scores for each team represent how many points above or below average they are. Subtract scores to get an estimated spread between two teams.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 44.06 |
2 | Oklahoma Sooners | 30.46 |
3 | Wisconsin Badgers | 30.03 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 29.88 |
5 | LSU Tigers | 29.40 |
6 | Oregon Ducks | 27.05 |
7 | Auburn Tigers | 26.49 |
8 | Clemson Tigers | 24.95 |
9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 24.63 |
10 | Iowa State Cyclones | 24.12 |
11 | Utah Utes | 23.33 |
12 | Georgia Bulldogs | 21.22 |
13 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 19.87 |
14 | Washington Huskies | 18.26 |
15 | Baylor Bears | 18.13 |
16 | Florida Gators | 18.11 |
17 | Navy Midshipmen | 17.98 |
18 | Texas Longhorns | 16.81 |
19 | USC Trojans | 15.49 |
20 | Memphis Tigers | 15.21 |
21 | Michigan State Spartans | 14.55 |
22 | TCU Horned Frogs | 14.00 |
23 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 13.45 |
24 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 13.36 |
25 | UCF Knights | 13.28 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.33 |
2 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.89 |
3 | Wisconsin Badgers | 2.62 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
5 | LSU Tigers | -1.60 |
6 | Oregon Ducks | 0.92 |
7 | Auburn Tigers | 0.34 |
8 | Clemson Tigers | -1.63 |
9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | -1.58 |
10 | Iowa State Cyclones | 3.80 |
11 | Utah Utes | 0.08 |
12 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
13 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -0.13 |
14 | Washington Huskies | 10.45 |
15 | Baylor Bears | 0.00 |
16 | Florida Gators | -1.93 |
17 | Navy Midshipmen | 7.53 |
18 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
19 | USC Trojans | 5.96 |
20 | Memphis Tigers | 0.26 |
21 | Michigan State Spartans | 4.19 |
22 | TCU Horned Frogs | 3.18 |
23 | Cincinnati Bearcats | -0.65 |
24 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.00 |
25 | UCF Knights | 0.14 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
SMU Mustangs | 2.33 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers | 2.31 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers | 1.06 |
Michigan Wolverines | 0.94 |
Boise State Broncos | 0.63 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.35 |
Total Score: 55.83