Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 7, 2019, 9:48 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Probabilistic model that uses Bayesian inference on a team's results to assign a probability of a team's rating given all their results to date. No information outside of the current season is used. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. No games against FCS opponents are counted. It is seeded from 0 each week and then iterated until ratings stabilize, so past weeks' results are reevaluated from the perspective of the current week.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes
2	Alabama Crimson Tide
3	Wisconsin Badgers
4	Oklahoma Sooners
5	LSU Tigers
6	Penn State Nittany Lions
7	Oregon Ducks
8	Iowa State Cyclones
9	Auburn Tigers
10	Georgia Bulldogs
11	Texas Longhorns
12	Michigan State Spartans
13	Clemson Tigers
14	Washington Huskies
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
16	UCF Knights
17	Baylor Bears
18	Missouri Tigers
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys
20	Arizona State Sun Devils
21	Iowa Hawkeyes
22	California Golden Bears
23	Memphis Tigers
24	Florida Gators
25	TCU Horned Frogs

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.17
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
3	Wisconsin Badgers	1.24
4	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
5	LSU Tigers	0.00
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.71
7	Oregon Ducks	1.51
8	Iowa State Cyclones	16.80
9	Auburn Tigers	0.28
10	Georgia Bulldogs	-1.93
11	Texas Longhorns	0.00
12	Michigan State Spartans	8.78
13	Clemson Tigers	-3.15
14	Washington Huskies	7.64
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.59
16	UCF Knights	8.97
17	Baylor Bears	0.00
18	Missouri Tigers	2.06
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6.04
20	Arizona State Sun Devils	0.00
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
22	California Golden Bears	3.15
23	Memphis Tigers	0.00
24	Florida Gators	-5.19
25	TCU Horned Frogs	0.22

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Boise State Broncos	2.62
Michigan Wolverines	1.81
Utah Utes	1.53
Wake Forest Demon Deacons	1.19
SMU Mustangs	0.75
Virginia Cavaliers	0.70
Minnesota Golden Gophers	0.11
Cincinnati Bearcats	0.20

Total Score: 77.34