Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 24, 2019, 6:33 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Probabilistic model that uses Bayesian inference on a team's results to assign a probability of a team's rating given all their results to date. No results outside of the current season are used. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. No games against FCS opponents are counted.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes
2	Wisconsin Badgers
3	Clemson Tigers
4	Georgia Bulldogs
5	LSU Tigers
6	Auburn Tigers
7	Alabama Crimson Tide
8	Oklahoma Sooners
9	Oregon Ducks
10	Texas Longhorns
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
12	Iowa State Cyclones
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys
14	Maryland Terrapins
15	Texas A&M Aggies
16	Kansas State Wildcats
17	UCF Knights
18	Michigan State Spartans
19	Missouri Tigers
20	Washington Huskies
21	Mississippi State Bulldogs
22	Penn State Nittany Lions
23	California Golden Bears
24	SMU Mustangs
25	Arizona State Sun Devils

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	1.24
2	Wisconsin Badgers	1.42
3	Clemson Tigers	-0.22
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
5	LSU Tigers	0.00
6	Auburn Tigers	0.00
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	-0.81
8	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
9	Oregon Ducks	0.76
10	Texas Longhorns	0.00
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
12	Iowa State Cyclones	12.77
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6.85
14	Maryland Terrapins	11.11
15	Texas A&M Aggies	2.24
16	Kansas State Wildcats	0.19
17	UCF Knights	1.07
18	Michigan State Spartans	1.74
19	Missouri Tigers	5.69
20	Washington Huskies	0.00
21	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.50
22	Penn State Nittany Lions	-2.61
23	California Golden Bears	-0.98
24	SMU Mustangs	0.00
25	Arizona State Sun Devils	0.10

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Florida Gators	4.15
Iowa Hawkeyes	2.73
Boise State Broncos	1.84
Virginia Cavaliers	1.31
Utah Utes	0.82
USC Trojans	0.52
Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.09
Michigan Wolverines	0.21

Total Score: 62.95