Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 23, 2019, 9:12 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Ranked by probability of making the playoffs based on 538's predictive model until teams are below 5% then switches to ranking by Conference champ probability otherwise no G5 teams will show up.  This helps better capture NY6 probability after playoffs become unrealistic/longshot goals for some teams.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Clemson Tigers
2	Alabama Crimson Tide
3	Ohio State Buckeyes
4	Oklahoma Sooners
5	Georgia Bulldogs
6	LSU Tigers
7	Wisconsin Badgers
8	Auburn Tigers
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
10	Oregon Ducks
11	Penn State Nittany Lions
12	Florida Gators
13	Washington Huskies
14	Texas Longhorns
15	Iowa Hawkeyes
16	Kansas State Wildcats
17	UCF Knights
18	Boise State Broncos
19	USC Trojans
20	Iowa State Cyclones
21	Virginia Cavaliers
22	Utah Utes
23	California Golden Bears	They feel disgustingly low in this model, but at least they make the top 25 unlike Michigan.
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys
25	Michigan State Spartans

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Clemson Tigers	0.00
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.29
4	Oklahoma Sooners	0.04
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
6	LSU Tigers	0.00
7	Wisconsin Badgers	0.00
8	Auburn Tigers	0.00
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.11
10	Oregon Ducks	0.49
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
12	Florida Gators	0.00
13	Washington Huskies	0.91
14	Texas Longhorns	0.00
15	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
16	Kansas State Wildcats	0.19
17	UCF Knights	1.07
18	Boise State Broncos	0.00
19	USC Trojans	0.33
20	Iowa State Cyclones	4.77
21	Virginia Cavaliers	-0.07
22	Utah Utes	0.00
23	California Golden Bears	-0.98
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.00
25	Michigan State Spartans	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.09
Michigan Wolverines	0.21

Total Score: 9.55