Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 16, 2019, 7:13 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My poll is a hybrid. I take the results of a computer poll of my own creation and split the teams into tiers based on where it makes sense to break the values. I then look at just the teams within the tiers and re-rank within them based on my observations and feelings of the teams.Computer poll has a preseason component and a performance-based component. I phase the preseason component out as the season goes along. For this week, the preseason component is still 55% of the overall calculation.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
1/2 in Tier A: Not the sole team in the top tier for the first time this season as Alabama joins them. Still keeping Clemson at the top for now though. |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
2/2 in Tier A: As much as it would be fun to see Bama-Clemson V, I really hope some other team can challenge them. |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
1/1 in Tier Ba: Georgia definitely has the best chance of knocking off the Tide in the SEC. Only team in tier. |
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
1/1 in Tier Bb: Ohio State humming right along. I'm sure their inexplicable multiple TD loss to a middling team will be along at some point though. |
| 5 |
LSU Tigers
|
1/1 in Tier Bc: Only team in Tier |
| 6 |
Auburn Tigers
|
1/2 in Tier C: Having actually played three games and with the best win between the two (Oregon), I'm taking Auburn ahead of Notre Dame in this tier. |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
2/2 in Tier C: See reasoning given for Auburn above |
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1/3 in Tier D: My computer seems to finally be catching up to the conventional wisdom for Oklahoma. Easy choice for first in this tier. |
| 9 |
Florida Gators
|
2/3 in Tier D: Sucks that they lost Franks for the season, but had promising play from Trask in the comeback over Kentucky. Not sure this is a Top 10 team, but my computer likes them so far. |
| 10 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
3/3 in Tier D: Like with Florida, not sure they're a Top 10 team, but my computer is a fan. They're below Florida for now, but have a chance to make a statement against Wisconsin |
| 11 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1/2 in Tier E: Easy to pick them ahead of the other team in this tier |
| 12 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
2/2 in Tier E: Guessing this will be the team that causes the most head-scratching from my ballot. Have looked rough on offense and of course had that disappointing loss to Arizona State. The best I can figure is that they are bolstered by their preseason component (still 55%), which has them #7 overall. Even so, the performance ranking has them 29th for reasons that appear to have to do with the strength of their defense and relatively high strength of schedule (15th). |
| 13 |
UCF Knights
|
1/5 in Tier F: Another undefeated regular season looks possible, if not probable. Was dominant against Stanford. |
| 14 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
2/5 in Tier F: Still unscored upon thanks to a Bye last week. Big game against Michigan. |
| 15 |
Utah Utes
|
3/5 in Tier F: Have looked pretty good against lesser competition |
| 16 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
4/5 in Tier F: Same reason as given for Utah |
| 17 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
5/5 in Tier F: Defense looks good, but struggled to against Pitt. They badly miss Trace McSorley. |
| 18 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
1/5 in Tier G: Quality win over Mississippi State |
| 19 |
Texas Longhorns
|
2/5 in Tier G: Only loss was by 1 TD to LSU |
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
3/5 in Tier G |
| 21 |
Washington State Cougars
|
4/5 in Tier G |
| 22 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
5/5 in Tier G: Great start, and they've earned a spot in the rankings, but I'm not buying them yet. At the bottom of this Tier. |
| 23 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1/7 in Tier H: Only loss was to #1 Clemson. Have otherwise dominated lesser competition. |
| 24 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
2/7 in Tier H: Hard fought victory against Florida State. Undefeated start puts them in the rankings |
| 25 |
Memphis Tigers
|
3/7 in Tier H: 3-0 start with a win over Ole Miss and 2 blowouts over lesser opponents. Beat out TCU (4/7) and Boise St. (5/7). TCU was more a victim of only having played two games. Boise State's comeback win over FSU doesn't look that impressive and they also struggled at home against Marshall. Other teams in Tier H that were considered were Mississippi State (6/7) and Washington (7/7) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.16 |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Florida Gators
|
0.13 |
| 10 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.17 |
| 11 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.84 |
| 12 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
12.86 |
| 13 |
UCF Knights
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Utah Utes
|
-0.37 |
| 16 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
2.05 |
| 17 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-0.19 |
| 18 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.34 |
| 19 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-0.16 |
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-0.34 |
| 24 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
-0.09 |
| 25 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Boise State Broncos
|
0.97 |
California Golden Bears
|
0.15 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.01 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.24 |
Total Score: 19.05