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hythloday1 Ballot for 2017 Week 9

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 23, 2017, 11:37 p.m.

Overall Rationale: This is a resume-based ballot which only considers the quality of opponents played to date. At this point opponent quality is about half S&P+ (and Sagarin rankings of FCS teams) and half my own eyetest. Like most entirely backwards-looking ballots, it's still got some wonky results midseason, but those are getting rarer at this point. I award a fixed-value undefeated bonus which diminishes in relative value over the course of the season; we're now seeing one-loss teams start to overcome that barrier. The strangest results at this point come from early wins over opponents who started out shaky but have taken off since, which is retroactively inflating the value of that past win ... that's a fundamental flaw in this system I really have no way of correcting without doing heavy-handed manual adjustments which would create way more problems than fix.  Truly overinflated teams in this way always have the air let out by a loss down the road so I'm not too worried about it.

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