Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 25, 2017, 12:16 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I'm calling this a hybrid, because I do a set calculation (albeit a simple one) to assign points based off who you have beaten, with a penalty for losing when you aren't supposed to and then make eye test adjustments. It works out that 4 points is what you are "supposed" to do (that would net you a 18th place ranking at this point). No top 30 team should lose, so you get more points for beating those teams. Additionally, you only lose points when you are upset.I used Massey Composite again this week to assign points, my system doesn't have enough separation between teams yet. Additionally, I will move team +/- 5 spots to account for the eye test (hybrid portion). I will give a reason for a team being adjusted.Other teams considered for ranking (tied for 23 and 28): SMU, Louisville, LSU, Texas Tech, Minnesota, VanderbiltThe full data set can be found here:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1DahkvOu69wZE2w2skKrP39CCgmlAImUlnNo0TYbSwUA/edit?usp=sharing
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Oklahoma Sooners | |
2 | TCU Horned Frogs | |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | |
5 | Penn State Nittany Lions | +5 (tied for 10th with USC and ND)Not sure who can beat them outside of OSU at home - they look dominant |
6 | USC Trojans | +3 (tied for 10th with ND and Penn State)That WMU game is looking more and more like a fluke |
7 | Clemson Tigers | |
8 | Michigan Wolverines | |
9 | Washington Huskies | |
10 | Virginia Cavaliers | -5 (tied for 5th with Clemson)Boise St win is really good in my system, but eye test isn't there. |
11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | |
12 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -5 (tied for 7 with Michigan and Washington)Not sure what to do with them, they blow out LSU (still a very good looking team) and then get blown out by UGA.  |
13 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 13 - 17 are tied in my system, so simply adjusting those 5 based on eye test |
14 | NC State Wolfpack | 13 - 17 are tied in my system, so simply adjusting those 5 based on eye test |
15 | Washington State Cougars | 13 - 17 are tied in my system, so simply adjusting those 5 based on eye test |
16 | Duke Blue Devils | 13 - 17 are tied in my system, so simply adjusting those 5 based on eye test |
17 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 13 - 17 are tied in my system, so simply adjusting those 5 based on eye test |
18 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | |
19 | San Diego State Aztecs | |
20 | Utah Utes | |
21 | Virginia Tech Hokies | |
22 | UCF Knights | |
23 | Wisconsin Badgers | +5 tied for 28thThey ain't played nobody PAAAAAAAWWWWLLLThat plus the bye week hurt them badly in my resume based rankings. Moving them as high as I can back in. |
24 | Auburn Tigers | |
25 | South Carolina Gamecocks |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.47 |
2 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1.44 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.90 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | -1.29 |
5 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
6 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
7 | Clemson Tigers | -3.18 |
8 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
9 | Washington Huskies | -0.31 |
10 | Virginia Cavaliers | 15.20 |
11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2.19 |
12 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 2.96 |
13 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
14 | NC State Wolfpack | 4.94 |
15 | Washington State Cougars | 0.00 |
16 | Duke Blue Devils | 0.88 |
17 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 3.01 |
18 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
19 | San Diego State Aztecs | 0.00 |
20 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
21 | Virginia Tech Hokies | -2.81 |
22 | UCF Knights | 0.44 |
23 | Wisconsin Badgers | -3.76 |
24 | Auburn Tigers | -0.71 |
25 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.17 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Miami Hurricanes | 1.34 |
Louisville Cardinals | 1.28 |
USF Bulls | 0.95 |
Florida Gators | 0.37 |
West Virginia Mountaineers | 0.43 |
Total Score: 49.03