Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 2, 2025, 8:51 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Self-consistent field, applied with terribly weak restraints. This week I interfered a lot more to remove some entries that didn't pass my eye test, but I still will likely get the highest unusualness score due to some notable omissions and strange Top 10. The removed teams, after proper win-loss alignment of the model are #6 Fresno State, #11 Arkansas State, #13 Southern Miss, #20 Texas (literally 5-2-2 according to my model), with those 2 ties being BAD), and #22 FSU (maybe they aren't that bad?).
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
Undefeated. |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Undefeated. |
| 3 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
Undefeated. |
| 4 |
Connecticut Huskies
|
Undefeated* *All their losses are in overtime, which mean that all three(!) of them count as ties. This wouldn't normally matter, but because of poor SCF scaling the American had a high slot given by Memphis which was lost to UAB elevating them temporarily which UConn then took from them. If I had proper scaling, this wouldn't be an issue. |
| 5 |
San Diego State Aztecs
|
Still think they are underrated, even if the Wazzu loss looks real bad. Definitely not #5 quality though. |
| 6 |
BYU Cougars
|
Undefeated. |
| 7 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
Probably not this good, but losses are fine and have been dominant. |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Bad loss, unlike the Hawkeyes. |
| 9 |
Memphis Tigers
|
See Alabama. |
| 10 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Daddy Bama. |
| 11 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
|
| 12 |
Utah Utes
|
Good win. |
| 13 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
Bad loss, but somehow stick around. |
| 14 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
Dominant team. |
| 15 |
James Madison Dukes
|
That loss keeps looking better. |
| 16 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
That tie keeps looking worse. |
| 17 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
Overrated as always. |
| 18 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Not sure why my model hates them... underrated. |
| 19 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
Underrated. |
| 20 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Stumble. |
| 21 |
USC Trojans
|
Meh. |
| 22 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Meh. |
| 23 |
Washington Huskies
|
Meh. |
| 24 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
REAL MEH. |
| 25 |
North Texas Mean Green
|
Probably good. Notable omissions: Tennessee (effective tie makes them 5-3), Navy (loss plummets for now), TCU, UNLV, WKU, Tulane (see Navy), Oregon (tie with Penn State), USF, UVA (3 abysmal ties), Houston (see Navy), Vandy (see Navy and Texas (overall description)), Georgia Tech (see Navy) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.21 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-0.67 |
| 4 |
Connecticut Huskies
|
21.18 |
| 5 |
San Diego State Aztecs
|
13.41 |
| 6 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
4.38 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-1.24 |
| 9 |
Memphis Tigers
|
2.77 |
| 10 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-1.15 |
| 11 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-0.33 |
| 12 |
Utah Utes
|
0.21 |
| 13 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
5.77 |
| 14 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
James Madison Dukes
|
3.39 |
| 16 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
4.47 |
| 17 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-4.49 |
| 19 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.42 |
| 20 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
-1.08 |
| 21 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.86 |
| 25 |
North Texas Mean Green
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Oregon Ducks
|
4.77 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
2.76 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
1.98 |
Texas Longhorns
|
2.08 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
2.16 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.66 |
Total Score: 81.43